XRP has bounced nicely with the rest of the market, but it’s still trading as a laggard rather than a leader. The latest push was strong enough to squeeze shorts and reset sentiment from extreme fear to neutral, yet the price is stalling right where you would expect sellers to defend: higher-timeframe resistance and key moving averages.
XRPPrice Analysis: The USD Chart
On the daily chart, XRPUSDT has pushed into the $2.00 resistance block and is struggling to hold above it after a sharp bounce off the $1.80 demand zone.
The asset was recently rejected by the 100-day moving average, with the 200-day MA still sitting higher as an additional dynamic resistance, so the medium-term structure is still bearish. The RSI also briefly tagged the overbought region and is now curling down, which fits the idea of a relief rally hitting a ceiling rather than a fresh bullish trend.
Yet, as long as XRP holds inside or just above this $2.00 area, buyers can argue for a consolidation before another attempt at the key $2.40 resistance zone. A clean daily close above that zone would be the first real sign that momentum is shifting back in favor of buyers.
The BTC Pair
On the BTC pair, XRP is clearly underperforming. The price has pulled back to roughly 2,180 sats after being rejected decisively from the 2,500 sats supply zone and failing to hold above both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, which are now back overhead as resistance elements. The recent fakeout above the moving averages, followed by quick selling, is a classic sign of distribution. Liquidity has been grabbed higher, and the asset has been sent back into the prior range.
For now, the key support to watch is the 2,000 sats area. As long as that level holds, XRP can continue to chop sideways versus BTC while it digests the recent move. Meanwhile, a strong daily close back above the 100-day moving average and then reclaiming the 2,500 sats area would be needed to say XRP is genuinely gaining relative strength against Bitcoin, which looks unlikely at the moment.
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