
{"id":97605,"date":"2025-09-18T08:00:37","date_gmt":"2025-09-18T08:00:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=97605"},"modified":"2025-09-18T08:00:37","modified_gmt":"2025-09-18T08:00:37","slug":"bitcoin-set-up-for-promising-q4-next-two-weeks-could-be-decisive","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=97605","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Set Up For \u2018Promising\u2019 Q4, Next Two Weeks Could Be Decisive"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As the overall market continues to move sideways, Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to reclaim its local range highs as support. After short-term volatility, fueled by the Federal Reserve\u2019s (Fed) rate cut, the cryptocurrency could be poised to close the month on a positive note.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin Nears Multi-Month Bullish Run<\/h2>\n<p>On Wednesday, Bitcoin retested the $117,000 resistance for the first time in nearly a month before being rejected. The cryptocurrency has been hovering between the $107,000-$116,000 levels since late August, falling to the local <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin-attempts-111000-reclaim-but-last-leg-up-could-be-weeks-away-analyst\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">lows<\/a> at the start of September.<\/p>\n<p>Amid the retracement, investors <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinglass.com\/today\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">expected<\/a> to see another \u201cRektember,\u201d as it has historically been one of BTC\u2019s weakest months. Notably, CoinGlass data shows that BTC\u2019s returns during September have mostly been red throughout the years, with an average negative return of 2.99%.<\/p>\n<p>However, the flagship crypto\u2019s price has had a positive streak over the last two years, recording returns of 3.91% and 7.29% in 2023 and 2024, respectively. Analyst Crypto Jelle <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CryptoJelleNL\/status\/1968258722381344823\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">suggested<\/a> that with less than two weeks of the month, Bitcoin appears to be setting up for a multi-month green run.<\/p>\n<p>Last week, BTC recovered from the early September dip, breaking out of the crucial $114,000 level and turning it into support during the weekend. As a result, the cryptocurrency currently has a positive return of 6.35%, its second-best September, according to the analytics platform.<\/p>\n<p>Jelle noted that \u201ca green September has historically resulted in the next 2, 3, or even 6 consecutive months closing in the green too.\u201d Based on this, he suggested that if Bitcoin keeps its positive <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/solana\/solana-case-for-next-leg-up\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">performance<\/a> for the rest of the month, \u201cQ4 looks very promising for BTC.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2>BTC Retests Key Area Amid Volatility<\/h2>\n<p>Analyst Rekt Capital <a href=\"https:\/\/newsletter.rektcapital.co\/bitcoin-the-reclaim\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pointed<\/a> out that Bitcoin had a weekly Close above $114,000 and is retesting this area as support throughout this week\u2019s pullbacks. This could lead to volatile downside wicks below this crucial level if this week\u2019s close occurs above $114,000.<\/p>\n<p>On the contrary, failing to hold this level in the weekly timeframe could jeopardize BTC\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin-breakdown-averted-analyst-says-this-level-will-determine-btcs-fate\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">chances<\/a> of a third price discovery uptrend.<\/p>\n<p>Overall, BTC needs to retest and hold $114k as support on the Weekly and any downside volatility below it would likely end up as a wick by the end of the week with the new Weekly Close.<\/p>\n<p>Multiple market watchers anticipated some volatility in the short term, as the Federal Reserve was expected to announce its first interest rate cut of the year. Altcoin Sherpa affirmed that \u201c25bps is the expectation here\u201d as \u201c25 bps = Business as Usual but UP.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>He <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/AltcoinSherpa\/status\/1968362205814092014\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">added<\/a> that this decision would likely result in a dip to the range lows or a choppy performance and \u201cthen higher in late Sept\/ early October.\u201d On Wednesday afternoon, the Fed lowered its rates by 25 basis points to a new range of 4.00% to 4.25%, marking the first rate cut since December 2024.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cRecent indicators suggest that growth of economic activity moderated in the first half of the year. Job gains have slowed, and the unemployment rate has edged up but remains low. Inflation has moved up and remains somewhat elevated,\u201d the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcement <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/newsevents\/pressreleases\/monetary20250917a.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">reads<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>BTC retested the $114,000 support and $116,000 resistance immediately after the announcement, before stabilizing around the $115,500 level.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the overall market continues to move sideways, Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to reclaim its local range highs as support. After short-term volatility, fueled by the Federal Reserve\u2019s (Fed) rate cut, the cryptocurrency could be poised to close the month on a positive note. Bitcoin Nears Multi-Month Bullish Run On Wednesday, Bitcoin retested the $117,000 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":97606,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-97605","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97605"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=97605"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97605\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/97606"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=97605"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=97605"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=97605"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}