{"id":92804,"date":"2025-09-01T13:07:25","date_gmt":"2025-09-01T13:07:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=92804"},"modified":"2025-09-01T13:07:25","modified_gmt":"2025-09-01T13:07:25","slug":"3-big-reasons-september-could-spark-a-bitcoin-btc-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=92804","title":{"rendered":"3 Big Reasons September Could Spark a Bitcoin (BTC) Rally"},"content":{"rendered":"

TL;DR<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading below $110,000, but several elements suggest the asset may experience a substantial resurgence in the following weeks.<\/span>
\nDespite the positive signals, September has historically been a weak month for the asset.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/span><\/h2>\n

Massive Gains This Month?<\/h2>\n

The primary cryptocurrency exploded<\/a> to a new all-time high in mid-August, surpassing $124,000. Since then, though, it has struggled to maintain its momentum and now trades $15,000 lower. However, investors and crypto enthusiasts have not lost hope that the bull run is over, with all eyes now fixed on September. <\/span><\/p>\n

One important event that could act as a <\/span>major<\/span> catalyst this month is the potential lowering of the interest rates in the United States. Less than two weeks ago, Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, <\/span>hinted<\/span><\/a> at his speech in Jackson Hole that the benchmark might indeed <\/span>be decreased<\/span> before the end of the year.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The move (if implemented) will make money-borrowing cheaper and is likely to increase the interest in risk-on assets (such as BTC). Currently, the rates are in the range of 4.25% \u2013 4.5% and the last time they <\/span>were lowered<\/span> was in December 2024.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The Fed\u2019s next FOMC meeting <\/span>is scheduled<\/span> for September, and according to Polymarket, there is an 83% probability that the percentage will <\/span>be decreased<\/span> by 0.25%. The odds of a more drastic drop by half a percent are a mere 3.6%, while \u201cno change\u201d is estimated at 13%.
\n<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/a>Fed Decision in September, Source: Polymarket<\/p>\n

We move on to the amount of BTC stored on crypto exchanges, which, a few days ago, plummeted to a new seven-year low. The exodus from centralized platforms indicates that more and more investors are shifting toward self-custody methods, which reduces immediate selling pressure and could <\/span>be interpreted<\/span> as a bullish indicator.<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/a>BTC Exchange Reserve, Source: CryptoQuant<\/p>\n

Last but not least<\/span>, we will examine the <\/span>popular<\/span> Fear and Greed Index, which analyzes the current sentiment of the Bitcoin market. It ranges from 0 to 100 and shows the current state of the overall market sentiment from Extreme Fear to Extreme Greed. <\/span>Due to the asset\u2019s price retreat in the past few days, the index entered \u201cFear\u201d territory and currently has a ratio of 46.<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/a>BTC Fear and Greed, Source: alternative.me<\/p>\n


\n<\/span>This<\/span> may sound disturbing for bulls, but it sometimes indicates that the panic selling might already be behind us and could <\/span>be seen<\/span> as a buying opportunity. In cases like this, it is always helpful to cite Warren Buffett\u2019s famous investment maxim: \u201cBe fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.\u201d
\n<\/span><\/p>\n

History Is on the Bearish Side<\/span><\/h2>\n

Despite the <\/span>aforementioned factors<\/span> that suggest BTC could rally in the next 30 days, investors should <\/span>keep in mind<\/span> the asset\u2019s historical performance in September. In the past 12 years, the price managed to close in the green only four times.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Moreover, September has always been red for BTC following a halving year. <\/span>Recall that the last halving <\/span>happened<\/span> in the spring of 2024, and it will be interesting to see whether history <\/span>will repeat<\/span> itself.<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/a>BTC Monthly Returns, Source: CoinGlass<\/p>\n

The post 3 Big Reasons September Could Spark a Bitcoin (BTC) Rally<\/a> appeared first on CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

TL;DR Bitcoin (BTC) is trading below $110,000, but several elements suggest the asset may experience a substantial resurgence in the following weeks. Despite the positive signals, September has historically been a weak month for the asset. Massive Gains This Month? The primary cryptocurrency exploded to a new all-time high in mid-August, surpassing $124,000. Since then, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":92805,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-92804","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92804"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=92804"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92804\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/92805"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=92804"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=92804"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=92804"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}