On Sept. 25, the founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy announced that her recently commissioned research paper has measured global money creation relative to other asset classes.<\/p>\n
Alden\u2019s paper revealed that bitcoin moves in the direction of global money supply (M2) 83% of the time and more than other assets.<\/p>\n
Bitcoin has demonstrated a strong correlation with global liquidity, making it a potential \u201cliquidity barometer,\u201d the research noted<\/a>.<\/p>\n As global liquidity expands, measured through metrics like M2 money supply<\/a>, bitcoin\u2019s price typically rises; conversely, it tends to decline when liquidity contracts.<\/p>\n Over a study period from May 2013 to July 2024, the research showed a correlation coefficient of 0.94 with global liquidity, indicating a highly sensitive relationship.<\/p>\n I commissioned a research report, written by @samcallah<\/a>, to quantify bitcoin\u2019s correlation to measures of global money creation relative to other asset classes.<\/p>\n Result: bitcoin moves in the directional of global M2 83% of the time; more than other assets.https:\/\/t.co\/ODKNqvzdis<\/a> pic.twitter.com\/8710g6NKqr<\/a><\/p>\n \u2014 Lyn Alden (@LynAldenContact) September 24, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n\n M2 money is a measure of the money supply that includes cash, checking deposits, and easily convertible near money. It encompasses M1 money, including physical currency, savings accounts, and short-term deposits.\u00a0It is also used as an indicator of the money available in the economy, influencing inflation, interest rates, and overall economic activity.<\/p>\n When comparing other assets, Alden commented that stocks have earnings that can affect their correlation, and gold has \u201cdefensiveness,\u201d which can affect its correlation.<\/p>\n \u201cBitcoin is treated like risk-on gold, basically. So it has the highest correlation.\u201d<\/p>\n The researchers found that bitcoin\u2019s strong correlation with global liquidity is influenced by its high volatility, which can distort its shorter-term correlations.<\/p>\n The paper concluded that this correlation with global liquidity makes bitcoin \u201ca valuable macroeconomic barometer for investors and traders.\u201d<\/p>\n \u201cOne can think of Bitcoin as a mirror reflecting the rate of global money creation and the relative strength of the dollar.\u201d<\/p>\n Earlier this year, Lyn Alden predicted<\/a> that BTC prices would reach $200,000 within two years.<\/p>\n Earlier this week, market analyst \u2018Game of Trades\u2019 told his 247,000 X followers that the M2 money supply was entering expansion after reaching the deepest contraction level since 1960.<\/p>\n ALERT: M2 money supply has now entered expansion<\/p>\n After reaching the deepest contraction level since 1960 pic.twitter.com\/DX8eXo1ytC<\/a><\/p>\n \u2014 Game of Trades (@GameofTrades_) September 23, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n\n According to the St. Louis Federal Reserve, the M2 money supply started contracting in March 2022 and began increasing<\/a> again in March 2024. It is currently $21.17 trillion in the United States, up 2% over the past six months.<\/p>\n The implications for bitcoin prices are extremely bullish, as many analysts have predicted<\/a> that a crypto market bull run will begin in the fourth quarter.<\/p>\n The post Bitcoin Emerges as Key \u2018Liquidity Barometer,\u2019 Correlating with Global Money Supply Trends: Research<\/a> appeared first on CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" On Sept. 25, the founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy announced that her recently commissioned research paper has measured global money creation relative to other asset classes. Alden\u2019s paper revealed that bitcoin moves in the direction of global money supply (M2) 83% of the time and more than other assets. Bitcoin has demonstrated a strong […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":9269,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9268","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9268"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9268"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9268\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/9269"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9268"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9268"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9268"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}Bitcoin Liquidity Barometer<\/h2>\n
M2 Increasing<\/h2>\n