
{"id":90945,"date":"2025-08-25T07:30:53","date_gmt":"2025-08-25T07:30:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=90945"},"modified":"2025-08-25T07:30:53","modified_gmt":"2025-08-25T07:30:53","slug":"can-ethereum-really-hit-20000-this-cycle-analyst-maps-the-path","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=90945","title":{"rendered":"Can Ethereum Really Hit $20,000 This Cycle? Analyst Maps The Path"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Crypto analyst Astronomer (@astronomer_zero) says his long-standing bottom thesis on the ETH\/BTC pair has played out and published explicit cycle targets anchored to the cross. In a chart shared on X, he reiterated that \u201cETH bottom call\u201d is in and framed the roadmap entirely through ETH\/BTC levels rather than ETH\/USD, arguing that Ether\u2019s outperformance typically follows Bitcoin\u2019s impulse and that \u201call major liquidity comes from BTC.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2>How High Can Ethereum Go This Cycle?<\/h2>\n<p>Astronomer\u2019s post centers on a multi-month \u201czone\u201d on ETH\/BTC that he had marked in advance as a potential cyclical inflection. He writes that the call looked \u201cdelusional\u201d when first drawn\u2014\u201ca \u2018ridiculously long\u2019 prediction line (straight up from the bottom) from what \u2018could impossibly be the ETHBTC bottom\u2019 at the time\u201d\u2014but says the turn aligns with his proprietary sentiment work.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe sentiment on ETH was the worst my sentiment metric has ever tracked,\u201d with narratives ranging from \u201cETH is a bad investment,\u201d to \u201cETH foundation is selling,\u201d to \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/ethereum-vs-solana-arthur-hayes-winner-this-cycle\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">SOL is the new ETH<\/a>,\u201d to \u201cutility coins are dead.\u201d In his words, \u201cthat type of sentiment allowed us to confirm the bottom on ETHBTC in alignment with our ancient plan, at the time it hit our zone.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>With that backdrop, the chart and commentary lay out three ETH\/BTC targets for the remainder of the cycle. The first is 0.058 BTC per ETH, which he notes was \u201cstill 35% above here\u201d at the time of posting and, translated directly using spot Bitcoin, \u201cputs ETH at approx. $6.500 if BTC stays at this price.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The second is 0.091, \u201cpretty much a double from here,\u201d corresponding to \u201c$ETH to $10,000+, 5 figures,\u201d a level where he says he \u201cwill have sold over half of my spot bags.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The final and highest target is 0.16, \u201cjust under a 4x from here, putting ETH at $20,000 or higher.\u201d He is explicit that the 0.16 mark is aspirational rather than base case: \u201cThat is certainly my highest target, and I do not expect that to be reached guaranteed. But I love it open just in case it does happen.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The technical logic he presents is deliberately pair-driven. By mapping the cycle with ETH\/BTC, he seeks to capture relative strength rather than absolute price and to sidestep the moving base of BTC\u2019s dollar value. The implied ETH\/USD levels in his post are simple translations of ratio \u00d7 BTC price; he adds that those USD conversions \u201cwill, in fact, be underestimates as I also see BTC rise further.\u201d In other words, the chart\u2019s horizontal levels are ETH\/BTC at 0.058, 0.091, and 0.16; the USD numbers are contingent and will float with Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>The analyst also rejects calendar heuristics outright. \u201cThe reason I never talk about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-bulls-must-survive-brutal-september-before-q4\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">seasonality or \u2018red September<\/a>\u2019 or \u2018sell in May, walk away\u2019\u2026 is because I don\u2019t want to promote putting your hard earned capital on weak data\u2026 Seasonality, has neither.\u201d He adds that \u201cSeasons don\u2019t work in markets, only cycles do,\u201d and signs off with a jab at the meme: \u201cFor red September, kindly, visit your local forest\u2026\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Importantly, the pathway he describes is conditional on the same relative-rotation dynamic that has governed past cycles: Bitcoin leads, Ether lags until liquidity rotates, then ETH\/BTC advances through predefined shelves. In that framework, the analysis does not depend on any single ETH\/USD number; it depends on ETH\/BTC reclaiming and holding the cited bands.<\/p>\n<p>Astronomer is candid about positioning psychology as well. He argues that while \u201cit seems as if many are all <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/ethereum\/ethereum-biggest-macro-trade-10-15-years-tom-lee\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bull posting<\/a> ETH now and holding big bags,\u201d order-flow suggests \u201cmost of those people haven\u2019t bought from down low, are rather frozen out or are forced to buy higher with higher leverage.\u201d In his view, that structure still favors upside toward the posted ETH\/BTC targets: \u201cSo as long as that stays that way, I continue to expect these targets.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>At press time, ETH traded at $4,621.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Crypto analyst Astronomer (@astronomer_zero) says his long-standing bottom thesis on the ETH\/BTC pair has played out and published explicit cycle targets anchored to the cross. In a chart shared on X, he reiterated that \u201cETH bottom call\u201d is in and framed the roadmap entirely through ETH\/BTC levels rather than ETH\/USD, arguing that Ether\u2019s outperformance typically [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":90946,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-90945","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90945"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=90945"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90945\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/90946"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=90945"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=90945"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=90945"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}