{"id":89670,"date":"2025-08-19T18:38:18","date_gmt":"2025-08-19T18:38:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=89670"},"modified":"2025-08-19T18:38:18","modified_gmt":"2025-08-19T18:38:18","slug":"has-the-bitcoin-price-bull-market-topped","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=89670","title":{"rendered":"Has the Bitcoin Price Bull Market Topped?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin Magazine<\/a><\/p>\n

Has the Bitcoin Price Bull Market Topped?<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

The bitcoin price<\/a><\/strong> recently retraced nearly $10,000<\/strong> after setting a new all-time high of $124,000<\/strong> on August 14. The sharp drop to the $114K\u2013115K<\/strong> range has reignited debate about whether the bull market has peaked. But in percentage terms, the move is just a 7.8% retracement<\/strong>\u2014a normal fluctuation for Bitcoin. By analyzing on-chain data, ETF flows, and macro conditions, we can assess whether this is the end of the cycle or just a healthy reset before further gains.<\/p>\n

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Table of Contents<\/h2>\n

Bitcoin Price Action and Technicals<\/a>Bitcoin Price and Long-Term Holder Confidence<\/a>Bitcoin Price and ETF Inflows<\/a>Bitcoin Price and Derivatives Market Signals<\/a>Bitcoin Price and Global Liquidity Trends<\/a>Bitcoin Price Cycle Outlook: Consolidation Before Higher Levels<\/a>Conclusion<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n

Bitcoin Price Action and Technicals<\/strong><\/h2>\n

The bitcoin price<\/strong> remains well above major support zones.<\/p>\n

The pullback has found stability near the 50-day moving average<\/strong>, while the 100-day MA (~$110K)<\/strong> offers additional confluence with the May peak.<\/p>\n

Historically, retracements of 30%+<\/strong> have been common in bull markets, meaning this 7.8% decline<\/strong> is relatively minor.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin Price and Long-Term Holder Confidence<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Data reveals that long-term holders<\/strong> (LTHs) are increasing their bitcoin supply<\/strong>, signaling unwillingness to sell at current price levels.<\/p>\n

This suggests two things:<\/p>\n

Veteran holders expect a higher bitcoin price<\/strong> in the future.<\/p>\n

New demand is temporarily slowing, creating short-term stagnation.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin Price and ETF Inflows<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Institutional demand through ETFs has cooled, with net inflows slowing after peaking alongside the bitcoin price<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

When averaged over 28 days, flows tend to align with market highs, and the recent slowdown points to a deceleration of fresh capital inflows<\/strong> rather than a full reversal.<\/p>\n

Sustained ETF demand will be critical for driving the next phase of the bitcoin price<\/strong> rally.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin Price and Derivatives Market Signals<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Funding rates have turned negative in recent sessions, meaning most traders are betting against the bitcoin price<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Historically, negative funding rates often coincide with local bottoms<\/strong> that precede sharp rebounds.<\/p>\n

This supports the view that the bitcoin price bull market<\/strong> is not over.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin Price and Global Liquidity Trends<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Global M2 money supply has stagnated, slowing the flow of fiat liquidity into speculative assets like Bitcoin.<\/p>\n

The bitcoin price<\/strong> remains correlated to U.S. equities, particularly the S&P 500, which has also retraced after new highs.<\/p>\n

If the Federal Reserve pivots toward rate cuts, this could serve as a catalyst for both equities and the bitcoin price<\/strong> to resume their uptrend.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin Price Cycle Outlook: Consolidation Before Higher Levels<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Short-term: A further dip to $110K<\/strong> is possible, but this level represents strong confluence of support.<\/p>\n

Medium-term: Extended sideways consolidation could continue into 2026<\/strong> if cycles are lengthening.<\/p>\n

Long-term: No on-chain or macro indicators confirm a cycle top; rather, the evidence points to more upside potential for the bitcoin price<\/strong> once new demand enters.<\/p>\n

Conclusion<\/strong><\/h2>\n

While the recent $10,000 drop felt severe, it amounts to less than an 8% move in the bitcoin price<\/strong>\u2014a routine correction in the context of previous bull cycles. Long-term holders are holding firm, ETF flows remain positive though slowing, and derivatives data suggests shorts could be caught offside. The biggest missing factor is renewed liquidity and capital inflows.<\/p>\n

The base case remains clear: the bitcoin price bull market has not topped<\/strong>. Instead, this retracement is a pause, not an ending, and significant upside potential remains for the rest of the cycle.<\/p>\n

\u00a0Loved this deep dive into bitcoin price dynamics?\u00a0Subscribe to Bitcoin Magazine Pro on YouTube<\/a>\u00a0for more expert market insights and analysis!<\/strong><\/p>\n

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WATCH LATEST BITCOIN PRICE ANALYSIS<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n

For more deep-dive research, technical indicators, real-time market alerts, and access to expert analysis, visit\u00a0BitcoinMagazinePro.com<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.<\/em><\/p>\n

This post Has the Bitcoin Price Bull Market Topped?<\/a> first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine<\/a> and is written by Matt Crosby<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin Magazine Has the Bitcoin Price Bull Market Topped? The bitcoin price recently retraced nearly $10,000 after setting a new all-time high of $124,000 on August 14. The sharp drop to the $114K\u2013115K range has reignited debate about whether the bull market has peaked. But in percentage terms, the move is just a 7.8% retracement\u2014a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":89671,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-89670","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89670"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=89670"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89670\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/89671"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=89670"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=89670"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=89670"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}