
{"id":84310,"date":"2025-07-28T12:20:58","date_gmt":"2025-07-28T12:20:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=84310"},"modified":"2025-07-28T12:20:58","modified_gmt":"2025-07-28T12:20:58","slug":"bitfinex-alpha-btc-finds-local-low-but-leverage-increasing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=84310","title":{"rendered":"Bitfinex Alpha | BTC Finds Local Low but Leverage Increasing"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-space-between is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-3d213aab wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link\" href=\"https:\/\/go.bitfinex.com\/BFXAlpha165\">Review full report<\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/bitfinexalpha\/\">Subscribe to Bitfinex Alpha<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n      Subscribe<br \/> to Bitfinex Alpha!\n    <\/div>\n<div>\n      Want to receive Alpha from Bitfinex every week?\n    <\/div>\n<p>    <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/bitfinexalpha\/\"><br \/>\n      Subscribe<br \/>\n    <\/a><br \/>\n    <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/#\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>    \n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Bitcoin successfully defended its short-term range lows near $114,800 last week, rebounding sharply to close the week higher near $119,580. This resilience followed a swift intra-week drop of nearly 5 percent, which triggered large-scale liquidations. Over $1.1 billion in long positions were wiped out across major exchanges across a range of assets, on July 23rd and 24th, revealing how overheated speculative positioning had become during BTC\u2019s recent run to all-time highs. While the correction was shallow in price terms, its effect on leverage was deep, reinforcing the reflexive nature of crypto markets when froth builds too quickly.<\/p>\n<p>Under the surface, risk appetite continues to rotate aggressively into altcoins. Ethereum\u2019s open interest dominance <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Bitfinex-Alpha-165.pdf#page=8\">has risen<\/a> from 17 to 26 percent, while Bitcoin\u2019s has declined to just 41 percent, a sharp drop from 51 percent in April. Although total altcoin open interest dominance remains steady in the low 30s, its composition has been fluid, driven by fast-changing narratives and listing activity. The combined open interest across major altcoins such as\u00a0 ETH, SOL, XRP, and DOGE <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Bitfinex-Alpha-165.pdf#page=9\">has surged<\/a> from $26 billion to $44 billion in just four weeks, reflecting a clear return of speculative capital.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The market is now at a critical juncture. Bitcoin\u2019s structural strength remains intact, with support levels holding and ETF demand steady, but the growing concentration of leverage in altcoins leaves the broader crypto complex vulnerable to sharp deleveraging events. As speculative positioning builds, the risk of cascading liquidations increases, especially if macro headlines turn negative or if price momentum stalls.<\/p>\n<p>Recent data shows the US economy\u2019s rebound is masking deeper weaknesses. Business investment is <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Bitfinex-Alpha-165.pdf#page=12\">slowing<\/a>, with durable goods orders falling 9.3 percent in June and core capital goods down 0.7 percent, as tariff uncertainty disrupts planning. A front-loaded surge in equipment spending early this year has <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Bitfinex-Alpha-165.pdf#page=13\">faded<\/a>, and Q2 GDP growth\u2014forecast at 2.4 percent\u2014is largely driven by temporary inventory and trade adjustments rather than real demand.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, jobless claims dropped to 217,000, the lowest in three months, but continuing claims rose to 1.955 million, <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Bitfinex-Alpha-165.pdf#page=14\">signalling<\/a> difficulty in re-employment. Companies are pausing hiring amid tariff uncertainty and uneven demand. Housing activity <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Bitfinex-Alpha-165.pdf#page=15\">remains weak<\/a>, with new home sales up just 0.6 percent in June and inventory at its highest since 2007. The labour market isn\u2019t collapsing, but is quietly cooling, and the Fed is unlikely to cut rates further until clearer signs of economic deterioration emerge.The US crypto corporate landscape is witnessing a surge in Ethereum- and Bitcoin-focused treasury strategies, signalling a deepening institutional shift. <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Bitfinex-Alpha-165.pdf#page=21\">BitMine Immersion<\/a> and the upcoming <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Bitfinex-Alpha-165.pdf#page=17\">Ether Machine IPO<\/a> have together cemented Ethereum as a rising treasury asset class, with BitMine now holding over 566,000 ETH and Ether Machine preparing to go public with 400,000+ ETH in yield-generating infrastructure. Meanwhile, <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Bitfinex-Alpha-165.pdf#page=19\">Trump Media\u2019s $2B Bitcoin bet<\/a> adds to the trend, though concerns linger over revenue shortfalls and a reliance on crypto appreciation to justify valuations.<\/p>\n\n<p><span class=\"et_bloom_bottom_trigger\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/bitfinex-alpha\/bitfinex-alpha-btc-finds-local-low-but-leverage-increasing\/\">Bitfinex Alpha | BTC Finds Local Low but Leverage Increasing<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/\">Bitfinex blog<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Review full report Subscribe to Bitfinex Alpha Subscribe to Bitfinex Alpha! Want to receive Alpha from Bitfinex every week? Subscribe Bitcoin successfully defended its short-term range lows near $114,800 last week, rebounding sharply to close the week higher near $119,580. This resilience followed a swift intra-week drop of nearly 5 percent, which triggered large-scale liquidations. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":84311,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-84310","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-interesting"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84310"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=84310"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84310\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/84311"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=84310"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=84310"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=84310"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}