
{"id":77144,"date":"2025-06-30T12:32:41","date_gmt":"2025-06-30T12:32:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=77144"},"modified":"2025-06-30T12:32:41","modified_gmt":"2025-06-30T12:32:41","slug":"bitfinex-alpha-btc-consolidates-ahead-of-q3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=77144","title":{"rendered":"Bitfinex Alpha | BTC Consolidates Ahead of Q3"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-container-1 wp-block-buttons\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link\" href=\"https:\/\/go.bitfinex.com\/BFXAlpha161\">Review full report<\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/bitfinexalpha\/\">Subscribe to Bitfinex Alpha<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n      Subscribe<br \/> to Bitfinex Alpha!\n    <\/div>\n<div>\n      Want to receive Alpha from Bitfinex every week?\n    <\/div>\n<p>    <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/bitfinexalpha\/\"><br \/>\n      Subscribe<br \/>\n    <\/a><br \/>\n    <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/#\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>    \n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Bitcoin continues to trade within a well-defined range between $100,000 and $110,000, exhibiting signs of consolidation after an explosive near-50 percent rally from the April low of $74,634. The recent compression in price action reflects a cooling in both on-chain and derivatives activity, with declining spot volumes, reduced taker buy pressure, and a drop in open interest, highlighting that the market is <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitfinex-Alpha-161.pdf#page=7\">transitioning<\/a> from an aggressive impulse to a ranging phase.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s short-term holder realised price around $98,700 has acted as a <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitfinex-Alpha-161.pdf#page=8\">key structural level<\/a>, successfully acting as support with dip buyers accumulating Bitcoin there, especially during the most recent drawdown when Iranian-Israeli tension escalated. Despite the volatility, this level has continued to serve as both a support and a resistance zone throughout the current bull cycle. A brief breakdown last week to a low of $99,830 triggered <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitfinex-Alpha-161.pdf#page=8\">significant liquidations<\/a> on both the long and short side, with futures open interest levels dropping <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitfinex-Alpha-161.pdf#page=9\">over 7 percent<\/a> in a 24-hour window. This flush has cleared excess leverage and reset market positioning into the quarterly close.<\/p>\n<p>Looking ahead, historical Q3 seasonality suggests a phase of lower volatility and muted directional movement. On average, Q3 has been Bitcoin\u2019s weakest quarter, with just +6 percent returns historically, and price action tends to remain <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitfinex-Alpha-161.pdf#page=9\">range-bound<\/a> during this period.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The US economy continues to send conflicting signals as consumer spending <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitfinex-Alpha-161.pdf#page=12\">slows<\/a> while inflation remains stubbornly <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitfinex-Alpha-161.pdf#page=13\">above target<\/a>, complicating the Federal Reserve\u2019s decision-making. In May, personal income and spending both fell, with many households drawing on savings and cutting back on essentials like vehicles and dining out. Core inflation climbed to 2.7 percent, keeping rate cuts off the table for now as the Fed focuses on balancing price stability with the risk of weaker growth. Trade deficits <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitfinex-Alpha-161.pdf#page=15\">widened<\/a> further, jobless claims showed signs of a <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitfinex-Alpha-161.pdf#page=16\">cooling labour market<\/a>, and durable goods orders got a <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitfinex-Alpha-161.pdf#page=16\">temporary lift<\/a> from a spike in aircraft sales. Hopes for near-term Fed action have dimmed as policymakers await clearer evidence on the economy\u2019s direction amid tariff pressures and global uncertainty.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>In crypto, <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitfinex-Alpha-161.pdf#page=19\">Gemini<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitfinex-Alpha-161.pdf#page=21\">GF Securities<\/a>, a Chinese brokerage, are separately advancing tokenised asset offerings, giving EU and Hong Kong investors, respectively, new access to US stocks and digital securities as part of a growing effort to blend traditional finance with blockchain. Meanwhile, the sector\u2019s risks were underscored by the <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitfinex-Alpha-161.pdf#page=23\">sentencing<\/a> of a Pennsylvania man to more than eight years in prison for defrauding investors in a $40 million crypto Ponzi scheme, reinforcing the need for vigilance as digital finance evolves.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"et_bloom_bottom_trigger\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/bitfinex-alpha\/bitfinex-alpha-btc-consolidates-ahead-of-q3\/\">Bitfinex Alpha | BTC Consolidates Ahead of Q3<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/\">Bitfinex blog<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Review full report Subscribe to Bitfinex Alpha Subscribe to Bitfinex Alpha! Want to receive Alpha from Bitfinex every week? Subscribe Bitcoin continues to trade within a well-defined range between $100,000 and $110,000, exhibiting signs of consolidation after an explosive near-50 percent rally from the April low of $74,634. The recent compression in price action reflects [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":77145,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-77144","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-interesting"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77144"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=77144"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77144\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/77145"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=77144"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=77144"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=77144"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}