{"id":76888,"date":"2025-06-29T00:30:44","date_gmt":"2025-06-29T00:30:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=76888"},"modified":"2025-06-29T00:30:44","modified_gmt":"2025-06-29T00:30:44","slug":"bitcoin-bullishness-for-q3-grows-what-happens-in-every-post-halving-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=76888","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Bullishness For Q3 Grows: What Happens In Every Post-Halving Year?"},"content":{"rendered":"

As Bitcoin (BTC) enters the third quarter (Q3) of 2025<\/a>, bullish sentiment is growing, fueled by historical post-halving patterns that have repeatedly marked the beginning of explosive market moves<\/a>. A crypto analyst now points to recurring trends observed in past cycles, where Q3 has often acted as a launchpad for significant price rallies in BTC following each halving year.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Bitcoin Post-Halving Years Point To Explosive Q3<\/h2>\n

Luca, a crypto market expert on X (formerly Twitter), has doubled down on expectations for a major Bitcoin price rally in the coming quarter. He argues<\/a> that expectations of an extended consolidation in Bitcoin, based on the fractals and market behavior seen in 2023 and early 2024, fail to account for a critical factor: 2025 is a post-halving year<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The analyst points to<\/a> a consistent pattern observed in every post-halving year throughout Bitcoin\u2019s history<\/a>. In his chart analysis published on June 26, Luca notes that Q3 in these years have consistently demonstrated strength, with no historical precedent for weakness, reinforcing the case for a bullish breakout<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n

The chart compares Q3 performance during the post-halving years of 2013, 2017, and 2021. In each case, Bitcoin entered the third quarter with moderate or corrective price action, only to rally significantly in the weeks that followed.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The left panel of the chart shows the 2013 post-halving year, where Bitcoin went from under $100 in July to over $680 in November. In 2017, the middle panel highlighted a similar trajectory, where BTC broke out from under $2,800 in early Q3 to over $16,000 by year-end. <\/p>\n

The most recent cycle in 2021, shown in the right panel of the chart, saw a Q3 recovery rally that took Bitcoin from under $39,000 in July to a former all-time high above $69,000 in November<\/a>.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

Notably, Luca maintains that this consistent historical behavior is not coincidental, predicting that a similar rally could unfold in the current cycle, within the next few months. While he acknowledges<\/a> the possibility of a short-term pullback<\/a>, he emphasizes that Bitcoin\u2019s broader market structure remains firmly bullish, with momentum still favoring further upside.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Analyst Predicts $140,000 \u2013 $160,000 Bitcoin Cycle Top<\/h2>\n

Moving forward, Luca\u2019s chart reveals technical factors that align with his bullish thesis. Based on key Fibonacci Extension levels, the analyst projects<\/a> that BTC\u2019s next cycle top<\/a> falls between $140,000 and $160,000, a target he believes<\/a> could be attained toward the end of Q3.\u00a0<\/p>\n

While acknowledging that the exact target could shift depending on how technical confluences evolve, the expectation remains that a Bitcoin rally is imminent. With BTC now trading around $107,423 after rebounding from a previous dip below $100,000<\/a>, a potential move to $140,000 or even $160,000 would mark a substantial gain of approximately 30.35% and 48.97%, respectively.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

As Bitcoin (BTC) enters the third quarter (Q3) of 2025, bullish sentiment is growing, fueled by historical post-halving patterns that have repeatedly marked the beginning of explosive market moves. A crypto analyst now points to recurring trends observed in past cycles, where Q3 has often acted as a launchpad for significant price rallies in BTC […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":76889,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-76888","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76888"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=76888"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76888\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/76889"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=76888"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=76888"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=76888"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}