The daily XRP chart has slipped back into a state of suspended animation just when bulls needed decisive follow-through, according to the Ichimoku-centric assessment shared by crypto strategist Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX). \u201cI would be surprised to see $3, let alone ATH in June,\u201d the analyst wrote after posting the chart, lamenting that \u201cthe window of opportunity was missed\u201d for both the dollar and Bitcoin pairs.<\/p>\n
The chart Dr Cat circulated<\/a> shows XRP-USD grinding along the lower edge of the kumo around $2.14 after a failed attempt to reclaim the flat Kijun-sen that has flattened near $2.35. Price action pierced the cloud top in early May on robust volume, but follow-through stalled and the token has now printed two consecutive closes back inside the cloud. The Tenkan-sen has curled beneath the Kijun-sen, signalling waning short-term momentum, while the Chikou span (lagging line) is trapped in overlapping candles\u2014classic signs of neutrality rather than outright weakness, yet miles away from the bullish alignment required for an explosive trend.<\/p>\n Dr Cat argues that Ichimoku bull markets do not emerge spontaneously; they \u201ctake a lot of time and effort,\u201d typically at least one full 26-period rotation, to rebuild after a failed attack. \u201cIf the window of opportunity is missed and these conditions are not utilized, it\u2019s not a good sign,\u201d he cautioned, adding that the most optimistic scenario<\/a> now implies \u201cat least 1 standard 26-candles cycle to retry.\u201d On a daily chart that translates to roughly a month, leaving any breakout attempt realistically postponed to July or August and, if momentum continues to lag, potentially November.<\/p>\n Lower-timeframe data paint a harsher picture. The analyst points to \u201cconsistent selling pressure on lower medium timeframes without any sign of strength,\u201d noting that XRP\/BTC has sunk to the 2041-satoshi monthly support and is failing to bounce. The 2041 level\u2014the exact value where the cloud thins dramatically later in the year\u2014has become the fulcrum for Dr Cat\u2019s broader thesis: if it holds through summer, the token could launch a thinner-cloud break in November when \u201cthe XRPBTC kumo is very thin and easy to break.\u201d<\/p>\n