
{"id":60010,"date":"2025-04-17T14:03:32","date_gmt":"2025-04-17T14:03:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=60010"},"modified":"2025-04-17T14:03:32","modified_gmt":"2025-04-17T14:03:32","slug":"despite-ripple-etf-optimism-xrp-options-market-leans-bearish","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=60010","title":{"rendered":"Despite Ripple ETF Optimism, XRP Options Market Leans Bearish"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>TL;DR<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Following the supposed conclusion of the lawsuit against the SEC, all eyes in the XRP army are now focused on the potential approval of a Ripple ETF in the States.<br \/>\nNevertheless, certain traders are still leaning bearish toward the asset, at least according to data from Kaiko.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/XRPETF_CB.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<h2>ETF Hopes on the Rise<\/h2>\n<p>The approval of Bitcoin and later Ethereum ETFs in the States last year opened the door for other altcoins to hope for such financial vehicles. The massive change in the regulatory regime in the country following the inauguration of Trump only strengthened the sentiment that smaller cryptocurrencies would also be legitimized in front of institutional investors.<\/p>\n<p>Being the third-largest non-stablecoin cryptocurrency by market cap, XRP is positioned among the leaders in terms of \u2018who\u2019s next?\u2019 Currently, there are around ten different applications from financial companies to launch such products in the United States.<\/p>\n<p>The US SEC has <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/us-ripple-xrp-etf-approval-seems-closer-after-this-development-details\/\">acknowledged<\/a> the majority of them, while the chances for an approval in 2025 stand at 77% according to <a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/ripple-etf-approved-in-2025\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">data<\/a> from Polymarket (but the odds drop to 29% when the deadline is July 31).<\/p>\n<p>Crypto analysts are <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/xrp-etf-incoming-analyst-says-ripples-legal-win-changes-everything\/\">adamant<\/a> that the closure of the legal case against the SEC, which is still <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/official-update-in-the-ripple-vs-sec-lawsuit-is-settlement-next\/\">not<\/a> entirely official, would fully open the door for an XRP ETF. While others <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/ripple-v-sec-outcome-xrp-moon-dreams-face-reality-check\/\">believe<\/a> the potential approval of these financial vehicles could be the next catalyst for major gains, a more in-depth <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/the-truth-about-ripple-xrp-etfs-should-you-be-worried\/\">analysis<\/a> shows that there are several warnings investors should not ignore.<\/p>\n<h2>Options Market Is Bearish<\/h2>\n<p>Kaiko\u2019s recent market <a href=\"https:\/\/research.kaiko.com\/insights\/xrps-liquidity-race-as-crypto-etfs-deadlines-loom\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">report<\/a> highlighted the substantial liquidity of XRP and SOL, as they have \u201cthe highest average 1% market depth.\u201d Both assets are among the front-runners for ETF applications.<\/p>\n<p>XRP\u2019s market depth exploded in late 2024, perhaps driven by the hopes of the political and regulatory changes in the US. It surpassed SOL and doubled that of ADA, which ranks third among the ETF seekers.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/screenshot-2025-04-14-at-4.07.14pm.webp\"><\/a>Altcoin Market Depth. Source: Kaiko<\/p>\n<p>Despite the anticipation for an XRP ETF and all the <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/ripple-is-winning-big-so-wheres-the-xrp-price-moonshot\/\">major developments<\/a> around Ripple as of late, which include a massive $1.2 billion prime broker <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/ripple-shelves-ipo-plans-even-after-sec-lawsuit-closure-says-president-at-paris-blockchain-week\/\">acquisition<\/a>, the options market on Deribit is \u201cskewed bearish.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Kaiko said that the volatility smile (a pattern of implied volatility for a number of options that have the same expiration date and underlying but different strike prices) for the April 18 expiration is \u201cheavily to the left,\u201d which signals \u201cdemand for downside protection.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>However, the report explained that the bearish outlook is \u201clikely linked to broader market uncertainty at present due to macroeconomic concerns.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/screenshot-2025-04-14-at-4.13.24pm.webp\"><\/a>XRP Options Implied Volatility Skew. Source: Kaiko<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/despite-ripple-etf-optimism-xrp-options-market-leans-bearish\/\">Despite Ripple ETF Optimism, XRP Options Market Leans Bearish<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/\">CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>TL;DR Following the supposed conclusion of the lawsuit against the SEC, all eyes in the XRP army are now focused on the potential approval of a Ripple ETF in the States. Nevertheless, certain traders are still leaning bearish toward the asset, at least according to data from Kaiko. ETF Hopes on the Rise The approval [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":60011,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-60010","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60010"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=60010"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60010\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/60011"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=60010"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=60010"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=60010"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}