
{"id":59266,"date":"2025-04-15T03:30:40","date_gmt":"2025-04-15T03:30:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=59266"},"modified":"2025-04-15T03:30:40","modified_gmt":"2025-04-15T03:30:40","slug":"on-chain-clues-suggest-bitcoin-bounce-might-be-a-false-signal-heres-what-to-know","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=59266","title":{"rendered":"On-Chain Clues Suggest Bitcoin Bounce Might Be a False Signal\u2014Here\u2019s What to Know"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin has shown signs of stabilization following its earlier correction this month, which saw the asset fall to as low as $74,000. Over the past week, Bitcoin has rebounded strongly, gaining nearly 10%, and now trades above $84,000.<\/p>\n<p>This upward movement has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-hidden-bullish-signal\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">reignited optimism<\/a> among investors, though some analysts remain cautious about calling this a definitive trend reversal.<\/p>\n<h2>Apparent Demand Shows Recovery, But Trend Reversal Uncertain<\/h2>\n<p>According to recent on-chain <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/67fb6dc46420153a7a9d48a7-Apparent-Demand-is-Recovering-%E2%80%94-But-Dont-Call-It-a-Trend-Reversal-Yet\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">data<\/a>, the current recovery in BTC may be linked to improving demand indicators. However, it is suggested that the broader market structure still needs to confirm whether this bounce reflects a sustainable rally or is merely a temporary pause in the ongoing correction.<\/p>\n<p>CryptoQuant contributor Kripto Mevsimi particularly drew attention to Bitcoin\u2019s Apparent Demand metric, specifically the 30-day sum, which has started to<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoins-last-drawdown-to-74000-is-a-healthy-correction-analyst-says-bull-cycle-is-still-on\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> rebound from negative territory<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>This trend is being observed as a potential sign of changing market dynamics. However, Mevsimi warns against assuming this is the start of a new bullish cycle, drawing parallels to Bitcoin\u2019s behavior during the latter part of the 2021 cycle.<\/p>\n<p>During that period, demand remained suppressed for an extended timeframe, even as prices temporarily recovered. Only after a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-bearish-pattern-points-to-51400-price-target-analyst\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> long consolidation phase<\/a> did the market experience a genuine structural shift.<\/p>\n<p>Mevsimi highlights that although momentum may be improving, more time and confirmation are necessary before a macro-level trend reversal can be confirmed.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Selling Pressure Declines on Binance<\/h2>\n<p>Another market signal worth watching comes from Binance, one of the largest crypto exchanges by trading volume. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/67fb5b206420153a7a9d4889-STH-selling-pressure-declining-on-Binance\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">reports<\/a> that inflows of Bitcoin from short-term holders (STHs) to Binance have been steadily decreasing, suggesting a decline in immediate selling pressure.<\/p>\n<p>The data indicates that average realized prices for STHs currently hover around $92,800, meaning many recent sellers have exited at a loss.<\/p>\n<p>Darkfost notes that inflows from STHs dropped from approximately 17,000 BTC in November to around 9,000 BTC more recently. This downtrend in selling could provide some support for Bitcoin\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-daily-bullish-pennant\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">current price levels<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Still, the analyst emphasizes the need for continued monitoring to determine if this reduction in selling pressure persists. The easing of short-term holder activity could reduce <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-lags-gold-wall-street-doubts-persist\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">overhead resistance<\/a> and contribute to market stability, but confirmation of accumulation or a broader bullish phase remains elusive.<\/p>\n<p>STH selling pressure declining on Binance<\/p>\n<p>Tracking <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$BTC<\/a> inflows on Binance is a useful way to visualize potential selling pressure, as the platform handles significant trading volumes.<\/p>\n<p>Short Term Holders have been under considerable stress recently, with many even ending up\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/lwOe45H7L3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pic.twitter.com\/lwOe45H7L3<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Darkfost_Coc\/status\/1911306412837269903?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">April 13, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin has shown signs of stabilization following its earlier correction this month, which saw the asset fall to as low as $74,000. Over the past week, Bitcoin has rebounded strongly, gaining nearly 10%, and now trades above $84,000. This upward movement has reignited optimism among investors, though some analysts remain cautious about calling this a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-59266","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59266"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=59266"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59266\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=59266"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=59266"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=59266"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}