
{"id":5890,"date":"2024-09-12T12:22:21","date_gmt":"2024-09-12T12:22:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=5890"},"modified":"2024-09-12T12:22:21","modified_gmt":"2024-09-12T12:22:21","slug":"did-the-ai-bubble-just-pop","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=5890","title":{"rendered":"Did the AI bubble just pop?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Popular AI stocks have been struggling lately\u2026<\/p>\n<p>AI chip king Nvidia (NVDA) is down 23% from its all-time\u00a0highs.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/insiderfinance\/the-next-ai-trade-cooling-stocks-bf29a72c79f8\">Vertiv Holdings (VRT), one of my top datacenter stocks<\/a>, dropped 32% from its all-time\u00a0highs.<\/p>\n<p>And Super Micro Computer (SMCI), the former top AI stock of 2024, crashed 66% since peaking in\u00a0March.<\/p>\n<p>Did the AI bubble just\u00a0pop?<\/p>\n<p>You could certainly say so judging by the price\u00a0action.<\/p>\n<p>I disagree. I believe the AI boom is alive and well. Making this pullback an excellent buy-the dip opportunity for artificial intelligence stocks.<\/p>\n<p>Let me explain you why and show you how to know when the AI market has reached the\u00a0top.<\/p>\n<h3>AI stocks\u2019 valuations are nowhere near Dot-com bubble\u00a0levels\u2026<\/h3>\n<p>Artificial intelligence revolution is often compared to the early days of internet.<\/p>\n<p>And rightfully so. AI has the potential to change the world just as much as internet did in the\u00a090s.<\/p>\n<p>Likewise, investors like to compare the surge in price of AI stocks to internet stocks from the Dot-com\u00a0era.<\/p>\n<p>I agree, stocks of AI leaders like NVDA have gone up a lot. But valuations are nowhere near the Dot-com bubble\u00a0peak:<\/p>\n<p>Super Micro Computer trades at a PE of 20.5. Nvidia trades at a PE of 50. Vertiv\u2019s PE is 58. At these valuations, today\u2019s AI stocks wouldn\u2019t even make the\u00a0list.<\/p>\n<p>And don\u2019t forget, it paid to own Cisco in the \u201csweet spot\u201d\u200a\u2014\u200athe period in the mid \u201990s when the internet was being built out and sales were\u00a0soaring.<\/p>\n<p>Its stock shot up 100,000% in 10 years\u200a\u2014\u200aturning every $1,000 invested into a million\u00a0dollars.<\/p>\n<h3>AI spending will only get\u00a0bigger\u2026<\/h3>\n<p>Fact is, the AI revolution is just beginning. Don\u2019t forget that ChatGPT isn\u2019t even two years\u00a0old.<\/p>\n<p>Big tech firms are locked in an AI arms race and they\u2019re spending insane amounts of money on\u00a0it.<\/p>\n<p>We (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.riskhedge.com\/\">RiskHedge<\/a>) ran the numbers and found this is one of the largest\u200a\u2014\u200aif not <em>the<\/em> largest\u200a\u2014\u200ainfrastructure buildouts in\u00a0history.<\/p>\n<p>The so-called hyperscallers\u200a\u2014\u200aMicrosoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN), and Meta Platforms (META)\u200a\u2014\u200aspent $52 billion in 2Q of 2024 on AI, up +54% from just a year ago. And they plan to spend even more in the\u00a0future:<\/p>\n<p>And those are just four companies\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Elon Musk\u2019s AI startup xAI just built the biggest AI chip cluster ever. He connected together 100,000 Nvidia H100 AI chips, tripling the previous\u00a0record.<\/p>\n<p>As long as big tech competes for dominance over AI, spending will continue and AI stocks will keep profiting.<\/p>\n<h3>How to tell we\u2019re at a top of an AI\u00a0bubble\u2026<\/h3>\n<p>This signal I\u2019m watching for is the \u201cIPO\u201d\u00a0curse.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019m struck by how many times the leading company in a hot sector has gone public and marked \u201cthe\u00a0top\u2026\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The AOL-Time Warner merger in 2000\u200a\u2014\u200astill the largest ever\u200a\u2014\u200aculminated in the dot-com\u00a0bust.The Blackstone (BX) IPO in 2007 coincided with the top for financial markets and preceded the Great Recession.Glencore\u2019s (GLNCY) 2011 listing marked the peak in the commodity super-cycle.Coinbase\u2019s (COIN) IPO looks like it marked a top for\u00a0crypto.<\/p>\n<p>There are many fast-growing private AI companies\u200a\u2014\u200aOpenAI, Figure AI, Anthropic, Perplexity AI\u2026 Which will eventually go\u00a0public.<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019re at least a year away from a high-profile AI IPO. This tells me the AI trend has more room to\u00a0run.<\/p>\n<h3>Conclusion: Continue investing in AI infrastructure winners\u2026<\/h3>\n<p>New technologies follow the predictable I.P.A.\u00a0pattern.<\/p>\n<p><strong>I-<\/strong>nfrastructure comes first, followed by <strong>P-<\/strong>latforms, then\u00a0<strong>A<\/strong>-pps.<\/p>\n<p>The iPhone launched in 2007\u2026 the App Store (platform) in \u201808\u2026 and then apps like Uber and Airbnb a few years\u00a0later.<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019re in the infrastructure phase of the AI\u00a0rollout.<\/p>\n<p>My top AI stocks to buy\u00a0are:<\/p>\n<p>#1) <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/coinmonks\/3-reasons-why-nvidia-stock-is-still-a-buy-despite-dropping-24-219c1b5a8a02\">Nvidia\u200a\u2014\u200aIt continues delivering excellent results and the recent pullback makes it an excellent buy-the-dip opportunity<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>#2)<a href=\"https:\/\/wire.insiderfinance.io\/the-next-ai-trade-cooling-stocks-bf29a72c79f8\"> Vertiv\u200a\u2014\u200acooling is a vital part of the datacenter equation and Vertiv is the best stock in this AI\u00a0niche.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>#3) <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/p\/7cd07437a580\">Tesla\u200a\u2014\u200aThis is arguably one of the most misunderstood and undervalued AI stocks on the\u00a0market<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Bottom line: Stop worrying about an AI bubble. You\u2019ll miss the big gains still ahead of\u00a0us.<\/p>\n<p>***<\/p>\n<p><strong>P.S: For more insights and analysis, <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.riskhedge.com\/go\/RH144SM617\/RMD\"><strong>subscribe to my investing letter <em>The\u00a0Jolt\u26a1<\/em><\/strong><\/a><strong><em>.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>I publish fresh research every\u00a0M\/W\/F.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.riskhedge.com\/go\/RH144SM617\/RMD\">Click here to subscribe<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u2014 Stephen McBride, Chief Analyst at <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.riskhedge.com\/\"><em>RiskHedge<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/coinmonks\/did-the-ai-bubble-just-pop-e1635de9493d\">Did the AI bubble just pop?<\/a> was originally published in <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/coinmonks\">Coinmonks<\/a> on Medium, where people are continuing the conversation by highlighting and responding to this story.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Popular AI stocks have been struggling lately\u2026 AI chip king Nvidia (NVDA) is down 23% from its all-time\u00a0highs. Vertiv Holdings (VRT), one of my top datacenter stocks, dropped 32% from its all-time\u00a0highs. And Super Micro Computer (SMCI), the former top AI stock of 2024, crashed 66% since peaking in\u00a0March. Did the AI bubble just\u00a0pop? You [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5890","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-interesting"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5890"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5890"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5890\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5890"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5890"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5890"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}