
{"id":56430,"date":"2025-04-03T03:30:36","date_gmt":"2025-04-03T03:30:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=56430"},"modified":"2025-04-03T03:30:36","modified_gmt":"2025-04-03T03:30:36","slug":"bitcoins-fate-hinges-on-this-critical-dead-cross-signal-whats-next-for-btc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=56430","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin\u2019s Fate Hinges on This Critical \u2018Dead Cross\u2019 Signal \u2014 What\u2019s Next for BTC?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin has seen a notable price consolidation over the past few weeks, trading between the $84,000 and $86,000 levels. Despite the initial surge in price, the cryptocurrency has faced a decline of 3.7% in the past week and nearly 10% in the past month, signaling a period of stagnation in its upward momentum.<\/p>\n<p>At the time of writing, Bitcoin is priced at $84,263, raising questions about the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-reverses-losses-analysts-say-100k-is-on-the-horizon\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">future trajectory<\/a> of the asset as investors await a clear direction.<\/p>\n<h2>The Dead Cross: A Signal for a Potential Price Drop?<\/h2>\n<p>BilalHuseynov, a contributor to CryptoQuant\u2019s QuickTake Platform, has offered valuable insights into Bitcoin\u2019s current market behavior. In his latest post, titled \u201cWill Bitcoin Drop Anymore?\u201d, he sheds light on key on-chain metrics that may help <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-bull-run-over-watch-this-key-price\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">predict the next movement<\/a> in Bitcoin\u2019s price.<\/p>\n<p>His analysis revolves around the behavior of two important metrics: Realized Cap and Thermo Cap, particularly focusing on their recent crossover, which could have significant implications for Bitcoin\u2019s price direction.<\/p>\n<p>Huseynov explains that the Realized Cap metric, which tracks Bitcoin\u2019s total value based on its last movement price, gives a more accurate representation of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/is-binance-losing-its-grip-bitcoin-flows-reveal-key-market-shifts\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">network\u2019s economic value<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, Thermo Cap measures the total capital introduced into the BTC network through mining. When Thermo Cap crosses below Realized Cap \u2014 known as a \u201cDead Cross\u201d \u2014 it signals that Bitcoin might be heading toward a price decline.<\/p>\n<p>Huseynov points out that this situation is unfolding and predicts that BTC\u2019s price could drop to as low as $75,000 if the second Dead Cross materializes.<\/p>\n<h2>Is The Bitcoin Market Condition Still Healthy?<\/h2>\n<p>In addition to Huseynov analysis, another CryptoQuant\u2019s analyst Banker has provided <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/67eabb85f3ae1b2f63d1adf9-Bitcoins-Coin-Days-Destroyed-CDD-Indicator-Signals-Healthy-Market-Conditions\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">insight<\/a> into the Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric, which tracks the movement of long-dormant BTC.<\/p>\n<p>Since March 2025, the CDD 60-day moving average has remained low, indicating that long-term holders are not selling their Bitcoin in large quantities. This behavior is often a sign of confidence among seasoned investors, suggesting that they believe in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-price-struggling-but-short-term-holders-might-be-setting-the-stage-for-150k\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin\u2019s long-term potential<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The absence of major CDD spikes indicates that the market is not experiencing extreme price volatility, which could signal a period of consolidation or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/analysis\/btc\/bitcoin-price-bounces-back-83500\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">eventual upward momentum<\/a> as selling pressure remains low.<\/p>\n<p>This development also coincides with recent reports of short-term holders exhibiting less selling pressure after their initial move of taking profits.<\/p>\n<p>Decrease in selling pressure by 1-3 month holders<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThese holders appear to show reduced activity in the market after taking profits from their short-term trades.\u201d \u2013 By <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptoOnchain?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">@CryptoOnchain<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ThyGe7pjPO\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/t.co\/ThyGe7pjPO<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0minPLfiWM\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pic.twitter.com\/0minPLfiWM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/cryptoquant_com\/status\/1907084785408717268?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">April 1, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin has seen a notable price consolidation over the past few weeks, trading between the $84,000 and $86,000 levels. Despite the initial surge in price, the cryptocurrency has faced a decline of 3.7% in the past week and nearly 10% in the past month, signaling a period of stagnation in its upward momentum. At the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-56430","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56430"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=56430"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56430\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=56430"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=56430"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=56430"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}