
{"id":45484,"date":"2025-02-18T10:08:57","date_gmt":"2025-02-18T10:08:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=45484"},"modified":"2025-02-18T10:08:57","modified_gmt":"2025-02-18T10:08:57","slug":"is-bitcoin-topping-out-this-onchain-metric-points-to-worrying-weakness","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=45484","title":{"rendered":"Is Bitcoin Topping Out? This Onchain Metric Points to Worrying Weakness"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin price may be topping out, looking at on-chain data. There are now more speculators than HODLers. Will BTC price hold above $90,000?<\/p>\n<p><span>The Bitcoin <\/span><\/p>\n<p>    <span class=\"cwp-coin-widget-container\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>        <!-- name of the coin in the text --><br \/>\n        <span class=\"cwp-coin-widget-wrapper\"><br \/>\n            <span class=\"cwp-coin-widget-holder \"><br \/>\n                <span class=\"cwp-coin-name\"><br \/>\n                    <span class=\"cwp-coin-icon \"><\/span><br \/>\n                    <span class=\"cwp-coin-label \"><\/span><br \/>\n                    <span class=\"cwp-coin-symbol hidden\"><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>                    <span class=\"cwp-coin-trend-holder\"><br \/>\n                        <span class=\"cwp-coin-price hidden\"><\/span><br \/>\n                    <\/span><br \/>\n                    <span class=\"cwp-coin-trend-holder\"><br \/>\n                        <span class=\"cwp-coin-trend \"><\/span><br \/>\n                    <\/span><\/p>\n<p>                <br \/>\n            <br \/>\n        <\/p>\n<p>        <!-- popup with basic info about the coin --><br \/>\n        <span class=\"cwp-coin-popup-wrapper \"><br \/>\n            <span class=\"cwp-coin-popup-holder\"><br \/>\n                <span class=\"cwp-coin-name\"><br \/>\n                    <span class=\"cwp-coin-icon\"><\/span><br \/>\n                    <span class=\"cwp-coin-popup-name\"><\/span><br \/>\n                    <span class=\"cwp-coin-popup-symbol\"><\/span><br \/>\n                <\/span><br \/>\n                <span class=\"cwp-coin-price\"><br \/>\n                    <span class=\"cwp-coin-price-title\">Price<\/span><br \/>\n                    <span class=\"cwp-coin-price-holder\"><br \/>\n                        <span class=\"cwp-coin-price-value\"><\/span><br \/>\n                        <span class=\"cwp-coin-trend-holder\"><br \/>\n                            <span class=\"cwp-coin-trend\"><\/span><br \/>\n                        <\/span><br \/>\n                    <\/span><br \/>\n                <\/span><br \/>\n                <span class=\"cwp-coin-volume\"><br \/>\n                    <span class=\"cwp-coin-price-holder\"><br \/>\n                        <span class=\"cwp-coin-volume-title\">Volume in 24h<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>                    <br \/>\n                    <span class=\"cwp-coin-volume-value\"><\/span><br \/>\n                    &lt;!&#8211; <span class=\"cwp-coin-trend-holder\"><br \/>\n                        <span class=\"cwp-coin-trend\">?<\/span><br \/>\n                    <\/span>                     &#8211;&gt;<br \/>\n                <br \/>\n                <span class=\"cwp-coin-chart\"><br \/>\n                    <span class=\"cwp-graph-title\">Price 7d<\/span><br \/>\n                    <span class=\"cwp-graph-container\"><\/span><br \/>\n                <\/span><\/p>\n<p>                       <\/p>\n<p>        <br \/>\n    <\/p>\n<p> rally might be <span>coming to an end<\/span><span>, according to the latest Glassnode data. At press time, the world\u2019s most valuable coin is trading at around $95,500, stable in the past 24 hours, pushing the global crypto market cap to $3.2 trillion, down 3.3% in 24 hours.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>While there is hope that bulls will ward off determined sellers and successfully defend <\/span><span>support<\/span><span> at around the $94,000 to $95,000 zone, the series of lower lows in the past two weeks remains a concern. From the BTCUSDT chart, the coin is down 13% from all-time highs <\/span><span>and consolidates<\/span><span>, moving sideways as the uptrend loses momentum.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"chart crypto-chart-instance\">\n<div class=\"chart__header\">\n<div class=\"chart__info\">\n<div class=\"chart__info-icon\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__info-name\">&#8211;<\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__info-label\">Price<\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__info-label\">Market Cap<\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__info-value\">&#8211;<\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__info-value\">&#8211;<\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__info-value\">&#8211;<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__controls\">\n<div class=\"chart__controls-group\">\n                <button class=\"chart__button chart__button--24h\">24h<\/button><br \/>\n                <button class=\"chart__button chart__button--7d\">7d<\/button><br \/>\n                <button class=\"chart__button chart__button--30d\">30d<\/button><br \/>\n                <button class=\"chart__button chart__button--1y\">1y<\/button><br \/>\n                <button class=\"chart__button chart__button--all-time\">All Time<\/button>\n            <\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__controls-group\">\n                <button class=\"chart__button chart__button--logarithmic\">Log<\/button>\n            <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__container\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><span>Currently, Bitcoin is stable, moving inside last week\u2019s <\/span><span>range,<\/span><span> finding resistance at $100,000. Although there is no dismissing the possibility of buyers driving the coin above this psychological round number, onchain data suggests otherwise.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span>BTC Price Analysis: Is Bitcoin Price On Its Last Legs?<\/span><\/h2>\n\n<p>(<a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/BTCUSDT\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BTCUSDT<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p><span>There are signs of exhaustion, Glassnode analysts say. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>In a post on X yesterday, Glassnode pointed to the Bitcoin Realized HODL Ratio (RHODL) chart. RHODL is used to gauge the balance between mid-cycle holders, or those who have held the coin for <\/span><span>between<\/span><span> 6 and 24 months, against new entrants, that is, addresses who have held the coin for less than three months.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">#Bitcoin<\/a>&#8216;s RHODL Ratio helps identify cycle inflection points by comparing mid-cycle holders (6m-2y) to new entrants (1d-3m). A high ratio often happens near market bottoms. A low ratio signals excessive short-term speculation, often aligning with market tops. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/59SXdyAYWG\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pic.twitter.com\/59SXdyAYWG<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 glassnode (@glassnode) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/glassnode\/status\/1891512111190212863?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">February 17, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n\n<p><span>Historically, whenever the RHODL ratio is high, it tends to signal market bottoms. Meanwhile, when it is low, there are more short-term holders than diamond hands, signaling the possibility of the market heating up due to high speculation.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>It appears that more traders are punting, looking to flip the market for quick gains.<\/span><span> The RHODL ratio has been declining and is presently at levels analysts think mark the last stage of bull runs. Although it is not at absolute lows, a dropping RHODL ratio means investors are not keen on holding but rather speculate on prices.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>If this ratio continues to fall and then rebounds strongly, it may point to the entry of confident traders willing to HODL the market. <\/span><span>In that event, prices may print above $100,000 and<\/span><span>\u00a0race to as high as $110,000 in a buy trend continuation formation.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span>BTC Finds <\/span><span>Support<\/span><span> at $90,000 and $95,000<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Traders will, therefore, be watching the $94,000 to $95,000 zone, checking whether it will support bulls.<\/p>\n<p><span>From the adjusted Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score, Glassnode places the local <\/span><span>support<\/span><span> at $96,300. <\/span><span>This level was comprehensively broken<\/span><span> yesterday. In their assessment, this breach may open the door for sellers to <\/span><span>enter<\/span><span>, pushing prices to $80,000.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">#Bitcoin<\/a>&#8216;s adjusted MVRV Z-Score can be used to approximate areas of critical price support. So far price has held near the mean level of $96.3K. If prices break lower, the next major line of defense for bulls may be found at -1.5\u03c3 level ($80.1K): <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/jwSxMmYW4i\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/t.co\/jwSxMmYW4i<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/fXLOrWjhw1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pic.twitter.com\/fXLOrWjhw1<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 glassnode (@glassnode) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/glassnode\/status\/1891438549506908518?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">February 17, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n\n<p><span>Further analysis of the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) volume profile <\/span><a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/glassnode\/status\/1891438554590449780\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>reveals<\/span><\/a><span> that Bitcoin has a liquidity gap beneath $96,300. For this reason, the zone between $71,000 and $92,000 is sensitive and could easily break should prices drop.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Even so, parallel data shows <\/span><span>sellers<\/span><span> must break below $92,200, the short-term holder (STH) cost basis level. A level lower, there is the psychological <\/span><span>support<\/span><span> at $90,000, <\/span><span>which<\/span> <span>was retested<\/span><span> in early February 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Furthermore, fundamentals support Bitcoin and other safe havens. Rising inflation in the United States, <a class=\"general-link\" title=\"Here\u2019s Why Donald Trump Had to Launch His Meme Coin Before Taking Office\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/news\/heres-why-donald-trump-had-to-launch-his-meme-coin-before-taking-office\/\">Donald Trump<\/a> calling for lower interest rates, and the possibility of the crypto task force led by David Sacks approving the creation of the first national Bitcoin reserve may help catalyze demand.<\/span><\/p>\n\n<p>(<a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/sosovalue.com\/assets\/etf\/us-btc-spot\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p><span>As of February 17, institutions <\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/sosovalue.com\/assets\/etf\/us-btc-spot\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>held<\/span><\/a><span> over $114 billion worth of BTC <\/span><span>via spot Bitcoin ETFs. On February 14, they bought over $66 million of BTC-backed shares.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>DISCOVER:<\/strong> <a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/news\/pr-news\/what-is-wall-street-pepe-new-meme-coin-wepe-smashes-50m-mcap-on-launch\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">What is Wall Street Pepe? New Meme Coin WEPE Smashes $50M MCap On Launch<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong><a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/discord.gg\/B7Uk6agkqj\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"nnbtc-key-takeaways\">\n<h3 class=\"nnbtc-key-takeaways__title\">Bitcoin Uptrend Shaky: Details<\/h3>\n<p>         Bitcoin is trading below $100,000     <\/p>\n<p>         Glassnode analysts say there are more speculators than long-term holders     <\/p>\n<p>         Will BTC bulls reject any attempt to push prices below $90,000?     <\/p><\/div>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/news\/is-bitcoin-topping-out-this-onchain-metric-points-to-worrying-weakness\/\">Is Bitcoin Topping Out? This Onchain Metric Points to Worrying Weakness<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/\">99Bitcoins<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin price may be topping out, looking at on-chain data. There are now more speculators than HODLers. Will BTC price hold above $90,000? The Bitcoin Price Volume in 24h &lt;!&#8211; ? &#8211;&gt; Price 7d rally might be coming to an end, according to the latest Glassnode data. At press time, the world\u2019s most valuable coin [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45484","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45484"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=45484"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45484\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=45484"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=45484"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=45484"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}