
{"id":20528,"date":"2024-11-14T15:25:29","date_gmt":"2024-11-14T15:25:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=20528"},"modified":"2024-11-14T15:25:29","modified_gmt":"2024-11-14T15:25:29","slug":"trumps-win-is-big-for-crypto-but-lets-keep-expectations-in-check-op-ed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=20528","title":{"rendered":"Trump\u2019s Win Is Big for Crypto, But Let\u2019s Keep Expectations in Check (Op-Ed)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The recent U.S. elections campaign brought surprises and drama on multiple fronts, even before the results came through.<\/p>\n<p>However, one standout trend emerged as an outlier: crypto has moved from the fringes to the heart of the electoral stage. Moreover, the community has become a key demographic, heavily courted throughout this election cycle.<\/p>\n<h2>The Race for the Crypto Vote<\/h2>\n<p>The most vocal crypto advocate among the initial candidates was <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/rfk-jr-proposes-massive-bitcoin-buy-match-us-gold-reserves-with-btc\/\">RFK Jr.<\/a>, who positioned himself as a crypto ally from the start. I witnessed his eagerness to court the crypto vote when I heard him speaking at the latest Consensus conference in Austin and saw his campaign truck, manned by activists, parked there throughout the event days.<\/p>\n<p>Kamala Harris, on the other hand, largely bypassed the crypto debate. Her campaign showed<a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/kamala-harris-advocates-for-pro-crypto-regulations-but-fails-to-provide-details-again\/\"> minimal engagement<\/a> with the crypto industry, perhaps influenced by key figures in her party like Elizabeth Warren. Only closer to election day did Harris make general remarks about \u201cencouraging innovative technologies,\u201d including digital assets\u2014a gesture many dismissed as \u201ctoo little, too late.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>As for the winning candidate, Donald Trump\u2019s stance on crypto was a surprising development for those who remembered his earlier statements, such as labeling crypto as a \u201cscam.\u201d In the 2024 election cycle, Trump emerged as a \u201ccrypto president,\u201d enthusiastically rebranding himself as a supporter of Satoshi\u2019s vision. This transformation peaked with his appearance at the Bitcoin conference in Nashville.<\/p>\n<p>This sharp divide in stance between the front-runners\u2014accentuated by RFK Jr. joining Trump\u2019s team\u2014presented a clear landscape for the crypto community: Trump\u2019s bullishness contrasted with Harris\u2019s reticence. This dichotomy reflected a correlation between Trump\u2019s polling status and Bitcoin prices.<\/p>\n<p>Now that Trump won, the real question looms: will this crypto-friendly rhetoric translate into policy or was it simply a campaign strategy to woo previously hard-to-reach voters?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Trump.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<h2>Red Wave, Green Market<\/h2>\n<p>With Trump\u2019s win, it\u2019s no surprise that crypto enthusiasts are buoyant. It seems likely that crypto champions like RFK Jr., Vivek Ramaswami, and <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/trumps-d-o-g-e-promises-to-slash-bureaucracy-heres-what-you-need-to-know\/\">\u201cthe emperor of Doge\u201d Elon Musk<\/a> may join Trump\u2019s cabinet in some shape or form. The \u201cred wave\u201d has already turned the crypto market green\u2014Bitcoin recently hit an all-time high, reaching over $93K, with many other tokens following suit. Even Coinbase stock is <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/coinbase-microstrategy-bitcoin-mining-stocks-surge-amid-optimistic-market-shift\/\">rising<\/a>, aiming to recapture its 2021 bull-run highs.<\/p>\n<p>Beyond the numbers, many crypto leaders have voiced their approval. Figures like Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong, Paxos CEO Charles Cascarilla, Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson, venture capitalist Marc Andreessen, and the Winklevoss twins celebrated Trump\u2019s win. Anthony Pompliano notably remarked, \u201cWe now have the first Bitcoin president.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2>The Promised Land?<\/h2>\n<p>To understand the crypto industry\u2019s enthusiasm and gauge what the future might hold, we can look at Trump\u2019s election <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/10-promises-donald-trump-has-made-regarding-bitcoin-and-crypto\/\">promises<\/a>. Among his proposals, he\u2019s discussed forming a crypto advisory committee, which would likely be staffed by crypto-savvy insiders.<\/p>\n<p>Additionally, Trump has promised to halt the sale of BTC held by the federal government\u2014events that historically disrupt the crypto market. He has also expressed concern about the U.S. issuing a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC), calling it \u201cdangerous\u201d and warning it could trigger a \u201cCold War era\u201d in currency.<\/p>\n<p>Trump also pledged to replace SEC Chairman Gary Gensler, a figure many in the crypto world view as hostile. With over 100 enforcement actions against crypto companies, Gensler\u2019s departure could signal a shift.<\/p>\n<p>Another promise involves creating a more favorable environment for crypto mining in the U.S., a pivot from the previous administration\u2019s taxing of BTC production for environmental reasons. Above all, Trump\u2019s promise of Fed rate cuts may further boost crypto investments.<\/p>\n<h2>What\u2019s Next?<\/h2>\n<p>After the confetti has settled, what can the crypto industry realistically expect from a Trump administration? First, it\u2019s crucial to recognize that the election\u2019s impact extends beyond the Oval Office. Around 250 pro-crypto members of Congress were elected, and their voices in the House and Senate will significantly shape crypto policy.<\/p>\n<p>At a high level, we may see deregulation and lower taxes, both favorable for crypto companies. Notably, crypto miners likely won\u2019t face steep environmental taxes; they might even benefit from specific tax cuts aimed at revitalizing U.S. manufacturing.<\/p>\n<p>Gensler\u2019s replacement is widely seen as a \u201cwhen,\u201d not \u201cif,\u201d event, with names like Dan Gallagher, Paul Atkins, and Hester Peirce floated as potential successors\u2014figures more inclined toward clear, constructive regulation for crypto. The new SEC leader is expected to reverse Gensler\u2019s regulation-by-enforcement approach and lay out a definitive framework for exchanges, DeFi protocols, token issuers, and stablecoins.<\/p>\n<p>The push for crypto ETFs beyond BTC and ETH may also gain traction, opening the door for <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/expert-predicts-xrp-ada-sol-etf-filings-this-week\/\">XRP, Solana<\/a>, and others to offer the public new crypto investment options.<\/p>\n<p>Another potential shift involves devolving some federal authority to states, a concept aligned with Republican ideals. This could foster varied regulatory frameworks across states, introducing regulatory arbitrage that has proved effective in countries like the UAE.<\/p>\n<h2>Not All Roses<\/h2>\n<p>While election season is ripe for grand promises, not all commitments will be kept, and some may be contradictory. Firstly, it\u2019s important to understand that Trump has bigger fish to fry\u2014from immigration and energy policy to global conflicts\u2014that will likely take precedence over crypto.<\/p>\n<p>In some cases, Trump\u2019s broader goals could even counter crypto\u2019s interests. As a decentralized, borderless industry, crypto depends on free trade and open data flow\u2014values that clash with isolationist policies and trade tariffs. For example, potential restrictions on work visas could hinder the U.S. tech industry, including crypto, which relies on international talent and in-person global meetings.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, while Trump\u2019s team has shown skepticism toward a U.S. CBDC, global developments could force the administration\u2019s hand. China is racing ahead with its own CBDC, and the BRICS nations are inching toward a unified currency. Should Trump perceive the U.S.\u2019s broader economic interests to be at stake, a pivot on the CBDC front wouldn\u2019t be surprising.<\/p>\n<h2>Realistically Optimistic<\/h2>\n<p>In sum, a Trump presidency offers promising prospects for crypto. The presence of crypto-friendly figures on his potential team, the recognition of crypto as a legitimate financial and social movement, and the absence of staunch crypto skeptics like Gary Gensler and Elizabeth Warren in key roles all signal positive momentum. While some of Trump\u2019s promises may materialize, the crypto community would do well to temper its expectations. This administration faces numerous critical challenges, and not all decisions will be pro-crypto.<\/p>\n<p>The recent US elections were surprising and dramatic on many levels. The Democrats managed to break records in fundraising, while the Republicans joined forces with one of the brightest scientific and entrepreneurial geniuses \u2013 Elon Musk.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Authored by:<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Michael Pearl is a seasoned executive in fintech and blockchain with over a decade of experience in business development and growth. Before joining Cyvers, he was the COO of Intentable and served as Director of Content at Finance Magnates and global economy editor at Calcalist. <\/em><em>Michael is also the host of the \u201cFree and Decentralized\u201d podcast and is launching a new podcast called \u201cWeb3 Watchdogs.\u201d <\/em><em>He is a lawyer and holds a Master\u2019s degree in International Relations and a Bachelor of Law from the University of Haifa.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/trumps-win-is-big-for-crypto-but-lets-keep-expectations-in-check-op-ed\/\">Trump\u2019s Win Is Big for Crypto, But Let\u2019s Keep Expectations in Check (Op-Ed)<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/\">CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The recent U.S. elections campaign brought surprises and drama on multiple fronts, even before the results came through. However, one standout trend emerged as an outlier: crypto has moved from the fringes to the heart of the electoral stage. Moreover, the community has become a key demographic, heavily courted throughout this election cycle. The Race [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":20529,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20528","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20528"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=20528"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20528\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/20529"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=20528"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=20528"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=20528"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}