
{"id":20072,"date":"2024-11-13T06:30:53","date_gmt":"2024-11-13T06:30:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=20072"},"modified":"2024-11-13T06:30:53","modified_gmt":"2024-11-13T06:30:53","slug":"market-pricing-in-a-higher-fair-value-for-bitcoin-as-price-discovery-continues","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=20072","title":{"rendered":"Market \u2018Pricing In A Higher Fair Value\u2019 For Bitcoin As Price Discovery Continues"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin (BTC) has performed remarkably over the past week, surging 30% since the November 5 US election. The flagship crypto surpassed its March all-time high (ATH), recording a new high nearly every day for the last seven days. Bitfinex analysts noted that the market remains \u201crelatively stable\u201d despite increased speculative activity.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin \u2018Fair Value\u2019 Priced In At Higher Levels<\/h2>\n<p>Following Donald Trump\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-volatility-to-peak-by-november-8-as-trump-trade-intensifies-report\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">victory<\/a> last Tuesday, the crypto market has seen a massive rally, surging to a market capitalization of $3.05 trillion. Bitcoin has led the post-election bullish run with a 30% price increase, nearing the $90,000 mark earlier today.<\/p>\n<p>According to Bitfinex Alpha <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.bitfinex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Bitfinex-Alpha-130.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">report<\/a>, the rally \u201chighlights the positive reaction to the election outcome, with investors positioning themselves for potential economic stimulus and regulatory shifts.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>During the March highs, BTC\u2019s realized profit volume reached its peak of $3.1 billion. Since then, realized profit volumes have gradually decreased, \u201creaching an equilibrium.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>As the report noted, there\u2019s been a reset in supply and demand forces, which indicates, alongside the recent price surge, that \u201cthe market is now pricing in a higher \u2018fair value\u2019 for Bitcoin.\u201d At the same time, the cryptocurrency continues its price discovery.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, profit-taking above $70,000 has been significantly smaller than the past instances when Bitcoin traded above this range, despite a structural increase in profit-taking.<\/p>\n<p>Bitfinex analysts consider this to signal the \u201centry of a new wave of demand into the market,\u201d backed up by Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) buying post-elections. Additionally, it suggests that fresh investor interest \u201ccould drive further upward momentum in the near term.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2>BTC Enters \u2018A New Phase\u2019<\/h2>\n<p>The report highlighted record-breaking BTC ETFs\u2019 inflows, around $2.28 billion in three days. This performance represented a significant increase from the pre-election de-risking, which saw the crypto-based investment products record their second-largest single-day outflows.<\/p>\n<p>According to CoinShares <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.coinshares.com\/volume-208-digital-asset-fund-flows-weekly-report-20c547f8f8ef\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">data<\/a>, Bitcoin ETFs closed the US election week with $1.8 billion in inflows and started this week with $1.1 billion in positive net flow. This performance displays a resurgence in demand for the flagship crypto as the market adjusts to BTC\u2019s new price levels.<\/p>\n<p>Bitfinex analysts explained that from March to August, there was significant supply and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/ethereum-whale-data-signals-big-moves-ahead-as-stakeholder-activity-spikes\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">insufficient<\/a> sustained buying pressure to absorb it. The recent demand surge suggests a notable shift as buying interest is \u201cabsorbing selling pressure at all-time highs and stabilizing market dynamics:<\/p>\n<p>Now we appear to be entering into a new phase where the volume of profit-taking when BTC hits an all-time high is notably lower, given the amount of fresh demand entering the market post-election. This demand is helping to absorb the minor selling pressure still present, suggesting a healthier market environment and potential for further upward movement.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Open Interest (OI) in Bitcoin futures and perpetual contracts reached ATH, hitting $45.43 billion. The report explains that this signals an increase in speculative activity but details that the market remains \u201crelatively stable\u201d since OI and BTC prices \u201care in equilibrium at elevated levels.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Ultimately, Bitfinex anticipates some consolidation soon, with a potential <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-buying-pressure-rises-but-heres-why-a-pullback-could-be-coming\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pullback<\/a> to $77,000. A correction toward this level would close BTC\u2019s CME gap and strengthen Bitcoin\u2019s position to climb even higher levels.<\/p>\n<p>As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $86,225, a 5% increase in the daily timeframe.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin (BTC) has performed remarkably over the past week, surging 30% since the November 5 US election. The flagship crypto surpassed its March all-time high (ATH), recording a new high nearly every day for the last seven days. Bitfinex analysts noted that the market remains \u201crelatively stable\u201d despite increased speculative activity. Bitcoin \u2018Fair Value\u2019 Priced [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":20073,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20072","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20072"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=20072"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20072\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/20073"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=20072"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=20072"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=20072"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}