{"id":166779,"date":"2026-05-17T14:00:32","date_gmt":"2026-05-17T14:00:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=166779"},"modified":"2026-05-17T14:00:32","modified_gmt":"2026-05-17T14:00:32","slug":"bitcoin-lth-supply-climbs-back-to-august-2025-levels-as-316k-btc-move-into-strong-hands","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=166779","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin LTH Supply Climbs Back To August 2025 Levels As 316K BTC Move Into Strong Hands"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin\u2019s latest on-chain picture is beginning to look less like panic<\/a> and more like patience. Data from CryptoQuant, highlighted by crypto analyst Darkfost, shows that long-term holder supply has climbed back to 15.26 million BTC, returning to a level last seen in August 2025.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The move comes at a sensitive point for Bitcoin,<\/a> with the price still trying to build strength around $80,000 while traders are currently split between another breakdown <\/a>and a recovery.<\/p>\n

Long-Term Holders Add 316,000 BTC In 30 Days<\/h2>\n

On-chain data tracked by<\/a> CryptoQuant shows that Bitcoin\u2019s long-term holder (LTH) supply has recovered to 15.26 million BTC, levels last seen in August 2025. However, the most important detail in the CryptoQuant chart is not only that long-term holder supply is rising but<\/a> also the speed of the increase in the past month.\u00a0<\/p>\n

LTH supply has grown by roughly 316,000 BTC over the past 30 days. That means more coins are <\/a>aging into long-term holder status, which is a category used to identify investors who have held their Bitcoin for at least about six months and are less likely to react to short-term volatility.\u00a0<\/p>\n

As shown in the chart image below, the green bars representing the 30-day change in LTH supply have increased into positive territory in recent weeks, which is a distinct reversal from the red distribution phase that dominated late 2025.\u00a0<\/p>\n

At the end of November, the same 30-day metric showed a negative change of about 650,000 BTC, meaning a large amount of supply had moved out of long-term holder wallets during that period. That earlier phase coincided with a more vulnerable market structure as Bitcoin rolled over from its October 2025 all-time high and began a deeper correction.<\/a><\/p>\n\n

Bitcoin LTH Supply Change<\/a><\/p>\n

Darkfost also relayed this change to the earlier movement of 800,000 BTC from Coinbase. His point is that May 23 could become an important date for on-chain discussions, as those coins will officially cross the six-month threshold. Once that happens, then investors could see more commentary around how much of that supply is being reclassified into the hands of long-term holders.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin Showing Strength<\/h2>\n

The long-term holder data also fits into a separate outlook from<\/a> analyst Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe, who noted that the market may be too focused on new lows. According to the analyst, Bitcoin\u2019s 25% rebound from its recent lows, despite Middle East war concerns and a rise in yields, is a sign of resilience. In his argument, losing the 21-day moving average does not automatically mean Bitcoin must collapse into new lows<\/a>, especially since the price is still holding above $76,000.<\/p>\n

Van de Poppe also compared Bitcoin against gold, saying the BTC\/gold RSI has fallen to one of its lowest readings ever. However, previous low readings in the BTC\/gold RSI did not happen during the start of a bear market but came during the beginning of stronger Bitcoin phases.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n

Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @CryptoMichNL On X<\/a><\/p>\n

A crash to new lows would require Bitcoin to invalidate the 200-week moving average, something that would break most cycle behavior outside extreme shocks such as the Luna and FTX collapses in 2022.<\/p>\n

This does not mean that Bitcoin cannot test lower support. A move to $70,000 could still happen as a support test, but the difference is that he does not see new lows as the most likely outcome.<\/p>\n

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin\u2019s latest on-chain picture is beginning to look less like panic and more like patience. Data from CryptoQuant, highlighted by crypto analyst Darkfost, shows that long-term holder supply has climbed back to 15.26 million BTC, returning to a level last seen in August 2025.\u00a0 The move comes at a sensitive point for Bitcoin, with the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-166779","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/166779"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=166779"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/166779\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=166779"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=166779"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=166779"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}