{"id":144512,"date":"2026-03-25T02:00:15","date_gmt":"2026-03-25T02:00:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=144512"},"modified":"2026-03-25T02:00:15","modified_gmt":"2026-03-25T02:00:15","slug":"bitcoin-xrp-rallies-wont-hold-until-oil-falls-toward-80-expert-warns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=144512","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin, XRP Rallies Won\u2019t Hold Until Oil Falls Toward $80, Expert Warns"},"content":{"rendered":"

Brent crude slid nearly 12% on Monday <\/a>to trade around $94, but market expert Sam Daodu warns that oil prices will need to fall further \u2014 toward the $85\u2013$80 range \u2014 before potential rallies in Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP prices can be sustainable.\u00a0<\/p>\n

According to Daodu, energy prices remain the key link between the ongoing Middle East conflict and crypto market direction, and until they ease, inflation fears and interest-rate concerns will continue to cap risk assets.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin, XRP Retrace Amid Oil\u2011Fueled Rate Risks<\/h2>\n

Bitcoin <\/a>currently sits just above the psychologically important $70,000 level, while XRP is consolidating near $1.44. Both tokens have retraced modestly from last week\u2019s highs, with Bitcoin down roughly 4% and XRP off about 5% on the weekly chart after encountering resistance higher up.<\/p>\n

Those pullbacks, Daodu says, are tied to the same macro forces that have pushed oil above $100 on repeated escalation headlines since the Strait of Hormuz closures began in late February. Daodu emphasizes <\/a>that high oil prices sustain inflationary pressure and, crucially, keep the Federal Reserve (Fed) from easing policy.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The Fed\u2019s message on March 19 has pushed out expectations for easier monetary policy. When rate-cut prospects fade, capital rotates away from risk-on assets, and crypto, which still behaves like a high-risk asset, tends to suffer.<\/p>\n

The expert also highlighted structural reasons crypto markets<\/a> have appeared particularly sensitive to geopolitical shocks. Because digital-asset markets are open around the clock, they absorb the initial wave of risk sentiment instantly, often before traditional markets open.\u00a0<\/p>\n

That 24\/7 liquidity profile can lead to sharper moves in Bitcoin and XRP price following weekend or overnight headlines, as selling is concentrated into thinner markets, as Daodu noted in his report.<\/p>\n

Brent Near $80\u2013$85 Could Unlock Lasting Gains\u00a0<\/h2>\n

Despite these headwinds, Daodu notes there are constructive technical patterns beneath the surface. Bitcoin has formed higher lows <\/a>on successive sell-offs since late February, suggesting buyers step in during each dip.\u00a0<\/p>\n

XRP, on the other hand, has maintained a roughly $1.35\u2013$1.45 holding zone through recent escalations, reflecting resilience even as rallies fail to hold. <\/p>\n

Crucially, Daodu argues that oil is the variable most likely to break the current pattern of short-lived crypto rallies.\u00a0He noted that if Brent retreats toward $80\u2013$85 on signs of a ceasefire or diplomatic progress, inflation pressures should ease and the Fed could regain room to consider rate cuts.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Renewed expectations for easier policy <\/a>would likely return risk capital to crypto markets and give Bitcoin and XRP the momentum they need to sustain gains.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Conversely, if energy prices remain north of $100, every positive catalyst will be counterbalanced by the same inflation-and-rates dynamic that has dominated price action since February.<\/p>\n

Daodu also reminded that several bullish fundamentals that existed before the conflict have not disappeared: the SEC\u2019s movement toward treating Bitcoin as a commodity, inflows into XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and forward progress on the CLARITY Act.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Those catalysts are still in place but, in his view, are on hold until broader macro conditions \u2014 led by a decline in oil \u2014 allow risk assets to reassert themselves.<\/p>\n

Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Brent crude slid nearly 12% on Monday to trade around $94, but market expert Sam Daodu warns that oil prices will need to fall further \u2014 toward the $85\u2013$80 range \u2014 before potential rallies in Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP prices can be sustainable.\u00a0 According to Daodu, energy prices remain the key link between the ongoing […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":144513,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-144512","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/144512"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=144512"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/144512\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/144513"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=144512"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=144512"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=144512"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}