
{"id":142149,"date":"2026-03-14T10:00:50","date_gmt":"2026-03-14T10:00:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=142149"},"modified":"2026-03-14T10:00:50","modified_gmt":"2026-03-14T10:00:50","slug":"hyperliquid-hype-could-see-prices-reach-190-in-optimistic-market-capture-scenario","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=142149","title":{"rendered":"Hyperliquid (HYPE) Could See Prices Reach $190 In Optimistic Market Capture Scenario"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Decentralized exchange (DEX) Hyperliquid (HYPE) is experiencing a notable surge in its key metrics, positioning itself as a preferred trading platform amid rising tensions in Iran.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This increased activity has propelled HYPE to outperform the market\u2019s leading cryptocurrencies, boasting a major 23% gain over the past week. However, market analyst Ali Martinez has indicated that HYPE investors may soon encounter a new buying opportunity.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>New Sell Signal For Hyperliquid<\/h2>\n<p>The analyst <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/alicharts\/status\/2032454631457001586?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">highlighted <\/a>that on March 8, the TD Sequential had signaled a buying opportunity for HYPE, which was subsequently confirmed as the token experienced a price increase of 28.23%, rising from approximately $30 to a high near $38.53.<\/p>\n<p>However, as of March 13, the same indicator is now flashing a sell signal, prompting Martinez to caution that increasing selling pressure could lead to a short-term retracement to around $34.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Currently trading at $36.37, this would represent a decline of approximately 6.5%, in addition to a recent 2.5% pullback observed over the last 24 hours, according to CoinGecko <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">data<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>For Martinez, this potential pullback may serve as a strategic buying opportunity before the expected upward momentum resumes.<\/p>\n<h2>Ambitious Projections For HYPE<\/h2>\n<p>Adding to the altcoin\u2019s bullish outlook, research firm DCo released a <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Decentralisedco\/status\/2032463629803762006?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">new valuation framework<\/a> for HYPE. They modeled four scenarios based on the potential market capture of the $1.74 trillion daily Total Addressable Market (TAM) that Hyperliquid could attain through its HIP-3 protocol.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Utilizing a three-year discounted cash flow (DCF) framework, each scenario assumes a gradual capture rate: 20% in Year 1 (2026), 50% in Year 2 (2027), and 100% by Year 3 (2028), reflecting the gradual process of building market share.<\/p>\n<p>In a bear case scenario, where Hyperliquid captures just 0.01% of the market, HIP-3 could generate $32 million in annual fees at full ramp-up based on the conversion-adjusted TAM.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>When combined with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/crypto\/white-house-crypto-advisor-denounces-attempts-to-sabotage-clarity-acts-goals\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">baseline revenue<\/a> projected at $1.35 billion and considering the terminal value from Year 3 total revenue, the DCF results in an estimated enterprise value of approximately $18 billion, which could result in HYPE reaching a new record of $60 per token.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Under the base case of 0.10% market capture, Year 3 revenue from HIP-3 would climb to roughly $322 million, resulting in a total revenue of about $1.7 billion and an enterprise value nearing $22 billion. This would imply a token price around $72.<\/p>\n<p>$190 In Most Optimistic Case\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>In the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/breaking-news-ticker\/ripple-launches-750-million-share-buyback-boosting-valuation-to-50-billion\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bullish scenario<\/a>, with a 0.50% capture, the Year 3 HIP-3 fees would reach $1.6 billion, contributing to a total revenue of $3.0 billion. This would yield an enterprise value of $38 billion, corresponding to an implied price of about $124, representing a fully diluted valuation of around $124 billion.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The most optimistic case, positioned at a 1.00% capture, projects total Year 3 revenue of $4.6 billion, with an enterprise value of $59 billion and HYPE potentially valued at $190.<\/p>\n<p>DCo\u2019s analysis reveals that, even at a default 20% discount and 20x multiple, the current price of $37 is considerably lower than the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/xrp-news\/xrp-price-outlook-analyst-foresees-new-all-time-highs-above-40-in-2026\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bear case valuation <\/a>of $60.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This suggests that the market has not fully appreciated the potential contributions from HIP-3 and is undervaluing the inherent value of Hyperliquid\u2019s crypto exchange business.<\/p>\n<p>Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com\u00a0<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Decentralized exchange (DEX) Hyperliquid (HYPE) is experiencing a notable surge in its key metrics, positioning itself as a preferred trading platform amid rising tensions in Iran.\u00a0 This increased activity has propelled HYPE to outperform the market\u2019s leading cryptocurrencies, boasting a major 23% gain over the past week. However, market analyst Ali Martinez has indicated that [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":142150,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-142149","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/142149"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=142149"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/142149\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/142150"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=142149"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=142149"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=142149"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}