
{"id":133387,"date":"2026-02-07T20:00:14","date_gmt":"2026-02-07T20:00:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=133387"},"modified":"2026-02-07T20:00:14","modified_gmt":"2026-02-07T20:00:14","slug":"forget-a-bitcoin-yearly-top-btc-price-might-have-hit-a-16-year-cyclical-peak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=133387","title":{"rendered":"Forget A Bitcoin Yearly Top, BTC Price Might Have Hit A 16-Year Cyclical Peak"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Crypto expert Tony Severino has opined that Bitcoin isn\u2019t just showing signs of a yearly top but also that the BTC price may have hit a 16-year cyclical peak. This comes amid the flagship crypto\u2019s recent crash to $60,000, which sparked fears of a <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-market-structure-points-to-ongoing-stress\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bear market<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin May Be Showing Signs Of A Peak Amid BTC Price Crash To $60,000<\/h2>\n<p>In an <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/TonySeverinoCMT\/status\/2019395664082354257?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">X post<\/a>, Severino alluded to the yearly Bitcoin chart, which he said looks like a 16-year cyclical peak rather than just a yearly top. The expert also outlined several reasons this appears to be a <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-cycle-isnt-over-realized-price-bands-show\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">major cyclical top<\/a> for the BTC price. First, he noted that the white candlesticks have been decreasing in size over time, while black candlesticks engulf more white candles with each appearance.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, Severino highlighted the Doji at the top of a rising wedge pattern while the Evening Star is in progress, which is a bearish reversal signal for the BTC price. Meanwhile, the Fischer Transform is crossing bearish with divergence, and the Stochastic is crossing bearish after being rejected from 80. He added that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/analysis\/btc\/bitcoin-price-falls-further-70k\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin\u2019s Relative Strength Index (RSI)<\/a> is falling back below 70 after making it above this level on the highest timeframe chart.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>His analysis comes as the BTC price continues to decline, suggesting the crypto market may be in a bear market after topping last October. Bitcoin dropped to as low as $60,000 earlier this week, suffering its largest daily decline since <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoins-2-5b-liquidation-shock-puts-michael-saylors-strategy-under-the-microscope\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the FTX collapse<\/a>. Veteran trader Peter Brandt has also <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/PeterLBrandt\/status\/2019526503156052323?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">opined<\/a> that Bitcoin is in a bear market, predicting that it could still drop to as low as $42,000 before it sees a bottom.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>Reason For The Recent BTC Crash<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-price-to-200000-in-2026\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes<\/a> has commented on the reason for this recent Bitcoin crash, suggesting that it was due to external factors rather than part of an ongoing bear market. In an <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CryptoHayes\/status\/2019994102100865085?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">X post<\/a>, he stated that the BTC price dump was probably due to a dealer hedging off the back of BlackRock\u2019s BTC ETF structured products. Notably, BlackRock\u2019s IBIT saw a record trading volume of $10 billion on the day of this crash to $60,000.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Hayes\u2019 comment comes on the back of <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/analysts-warn-bitcoin-may-face-further-downside\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin\u2019s rebound above $70,000<\/a>, with the flagship crypto recording one of its largest ever daily gains yesterday following the crash to $60,000. Galaxy Digital\u2019s Head of Research, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/intangiblecoins\/status\/2018385044683837751?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Alex Thorn, suggested<\/a> that the drop to $60,000 may mark the bottom for the BTC price. This came as he noted that the 200-week MA, which is around $60,000, has historically been a strong entry point for long-term investors.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>At the time of writing, the BTC price is trading at around $70,000, up over 6% in the last 24 hours, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/TonySeverinoCMT\/status\/2019395664082354257\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">data<\/a> from CoinMarketCap.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Crypto expert Tony Severino has opined that Bitcoin isn\u2019t just showing signs of a yearly top but also that the BTC price may have hit a 16-year cyclical peak. This comes amid the flagship crypto\u2019s recent crash to $60,000, which sparked fears of a bear market. Bitcoin May Be Showing Signs Of A Peak Amid [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":133388,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-133387","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/133387"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=133387"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/133387\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/133388"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=133387"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=133387"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=133387"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}