{"id":131541,"date":"2026-02-01T18:00:09","date_gmt":"2026-02-01T18:00:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=131541"},"modified":"2026-02-01T18:00:09","modified_gmt":"2026-02-01T18:00:09","slug":"xrp-must-hold-this-level-to-avoid-transition-to-macro-bear-structure","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=131541","title":{"rendered":"XRP Must Hold This Level To Avoid Transition To Macro Bear Structure"},"content":{"rendered":"

The XRP price was caught in the latest crypto market-wide selloff<\/a>, falling to an intraday low of $1.57 within the past 24 hours. The sudden drop brings into focus XRP\u2019s higher-timeframe structure, which is teasing a break below the 33-month exponential moving average.\u00a0<\/p>\n

According to a technical assessment shared on X by crypto analyst Egrag Crypto, the recent drop below the 33-month exponential moving average does not automatically signal the end of XRP\u2019s cycle, but XRP must close above an exact level to avoid a macro bearish confirmation.<\/p>\n

The 33 EMA Breakdown Signal<\/h2>\n

At the time of writing, XRP is back to trading around $1.65, stabilizing after a volatile few hours<\/a> that forced many traders to reassess the broader structure. However, according to technical analysis by<\/a> Egrag Crypto, the most recent crash saw XRP breaking a bit below the 33 EMA on the monthly candlestick timeframe chart.<\/p>\n

Egrag based the recent price action around one critical condition: a confirmed monthly close below $1.60 and the 33 EMA. According to the analyst, such a close would mark a macro bearish confirmation based on historical structure, not sentiment or opinion.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The chart he shared highlights how XRP has respected the 33 EMA as a long-term trend reference across multiple cycles, with violations often preceding extended corrective phases. As shown in the chart below, the XRP price has been trading above the 33-EMA since early 2025, even during periods of corrections. However, XRP is now trading dangerously close to this EMA, and there is now a risk of a breakdown.<\/p>\n\n

XRP Price Chart. Source: @egragcrypto On X<\/a><\/p>\n

What This Means For XRP\u2019s Price Structure<\/h2>\n

There\u2019s a risk that XRP can transition into a<\/a> macro bear structure. At the same time, there\u2019s enough reason to suggest <\/a>an upside bounce for the cryptocurrency. A major point in Egrag\u2019s analysis is historical performance that shows XRP\u2019s strongest upside expansions did not require a clean bull-market environment.<\/p>\n

Therefore, there are two historical analogs of how XRP can play out from its current range around $1.60. The first is a repeat of the 2021-style move. This move, measured from similar structural conditions, would imply an upside expansion of roughly 340% with a price target around the $7 region.<\/p>\n

The second one is a repeat of the 2017 cycle. Comparison to the 2017 cycle projects a much larger structural expansion of about 1,600%, which would align with the $27 zone highlighted on the chart above. In both cases, the rallies originated from oversold conditions and compression ranges, not from a strong bullish macro confirmation like many would expect.<\/p>\n

According to the analysis, a breakdown below $1.60 could still lead to panic selling and reinforce fear narratives of a macro bear market, yet those same conditions have previously been the zones where late sellers exit just before volatility expands upward.<\/p>\n

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The XRP price was caught in the latest crypto market-wide selloff, falling to an intraday low of $1.57 within the past 24 hours. The sudden drop brings into focus XRP\u2019s higher-timeframe structure, which is teasing a break below the 33-month exponential moving average.\u00a0 According to a technical assessment shared on X by crypto analyst Egrag […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":131542,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-131541","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/131541"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=131541"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/131541\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/131542"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=131541"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=131541"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=131541"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}