
{"id":128019,"date":"2026-01-18T15:32:50","date_gmt":"2026-01-18T15:32:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=128019"},"modified":"2026-01-18T15:32:50","modified_gmt":"2026-01-18T15:32:50","slug":"bitcoin-price-analysis-rally-to-100k-or-drop-below-90k-is-next-for-btc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=128019","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Price Analysis: Rally to $100K or Drop Below $90K Is Next for BTC?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin continues to consolidate just below a major resistance cluster after a strong recovery from the December lows. The price chart shows a clear sequence of higher lows, while on-chain data indicates that the percentage of supply in profit has undergone a deep reset and is now recovering.<\/p>\n<p>Technically, the market is approaching an important decision zone: either a sustained breakout above the current ceiling opens the door to a new leg higher, or a rejection here triggers a corrective phase back toward recently established support levels.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Daily Chart<\/h2>\n<p>On the daily chart, BTC is trading around the $95,000 resistance band, which coincides with the lower boundary of a broader supply area and the 100-day moving average. This zone has acted as a price cap since November and is the key level currently under test.<\/p>\n<p>Below the current levels, an ascending structure has formed from the $80,000 demand zone, creating a series of higher lows. The recent advance has pushed the asset from that base into the current resistance area without any meaningful daily pullback, leaving the $90,000 short-term level as the first notable support layer in case of a rejection.<\/p>\n<p>Daily RSI has also cooled from recent overbought readings, but remains above the mid-line, consistent with a market in early or mid-trend rather than at a mature top. As long as the higher-low structure from the December bottom holds, the broader bias on the daily timeframe remains constructive, even if short-term volatility emerges around resistance.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/BTC-Daily-6-scaled.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<h2>BTC\/USDT 4-Hour Chart<\/h2>\n<p>The 4-hour chart highlights the recent breakout from an ascending triangle structure. The price spent several weeks compressing between a flat resistance around the $95,000 mark and the rising trendline of the pattern. This resistance has now been marginally exceeded, and the market is consolidating just above the former range high, potentially targeting the $100,000 region next.<\/p>\n<p>Yet momentum on the 4-hour RSI points to a downtrend, reflecting waning short-term strength and raising the risk of a corrective phase or at least a period of sideways consolidation.<\/p>\n<p>If such a correction unfolds, $93,000\u2013$94,000 forms the immediate breakout-retest zone, where stability would preserve the integrity of the bullish breakout. Further below, the $90,000 region marks the prior consolidation band and mid-range support, a logical area for a deeper but still healthy pullback within the prevailing uptrend.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/BTC-4H-5-scaled.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<h2>On-Chain Analysis<\/h2>\n<p>The Supply in Profit (%) metric currently provides an important cyclical signal. Recently, the percentage of circulating BTC that was in profit dropped to levels comparable to those seen when the spot price was below $30,000 earlier in the cycle. This occurred despite the current price being in the $90,000+ region.<\/p>\n<p>Such a deep reset in profitability at a much higher nominal price indicates that a large portion of coins changed hands or saw unrealized gains compressed during the recent correction. Historically, similar resets have often preceded new medium-term advances, as weaker hands are flushed out and a more robust holder base emerges.<\/p>\n<p>The metric is now recovering back toward the mid-70% range, suggesting that profitability is improving again but has not yet reached the extreme levels (above 95%) typically associated with late-stage euphoric phases. This combination can be interpreted as a constructive on-chain backdrop, consistent with the early stages of a potential new rally, provided that key technical resistance on the chart is eventually absorbed.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Bitcoin-Supply-in-Profit--scaled.jpg\"><\/a>s<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoin-price-analysis-rally-to-100k-or-drop-below-90k-is-next-for-btc\/\">Bitcoin Price Analysis: Rally to $100K or Drop Below $90K Is Next for BTC?<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/\">CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin continues to consolidate just below a major resistance cluster after a strong recovery from the December lows. The price chart shows a clear sequence of higher lows, while on-chain data indicates that the percentage of supply in profit has undergone a deep reset and is now recovering. Technically, the market is approaching an important [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":128020,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-128019","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/128019"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=128019"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/128019\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/128020"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=128019"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=128019"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=128019"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}