Bitcoin futures positioning has transitioned into a steady bullish zone for the first time in three months, according to analyst Axel Adler Jr.<\/p>\n
The Bitcoin Positioning Index rose to 3.5, which is the first breakout above the 3 level since October last year.<\/p>\n
The index, which accounts for open interest dynamics, funding rates, and long\/short opening ratios across major cryptocurrency exchanges, suggests<\/a> that bullish positions in the futures market have been systematically accumulating rather than forming in a single day.<\/p>\n The last time the SMA-30d reached similar levels was October 6, 2025, during a rally that pushed Bitcoin to $125,000. Daily data for the index reached 24, thereby placing it firmly in the bullish zone amid aggressive long positioning, including a 1.89% rise in open interest, a positive taker delta, and funding at 0.0045.<\/p>\n Bitcoin\u2019s price rose<\/a> nearly 4% to $95,358, while open interest increased to $12.18 billion. Adler explained that the SMA-30d breakout above 3 after three months in the neutral 0 \u00b1 2 range indicates a local regime shift in market positioning. He added that continuation of the bullish trend would depend on the SMA remaining above 2 for at least a week.<\/p>\n At the same time, the Bitcoin Advanced Sentiment Index reached a peak of 93% before pulling back to 70%. The index remains above the neutral 50% threshold and above its SMA-30d level of 62.9%, which means that bullish sentiment continues despite the pullback. Adler interpreted the 23-percentage-point decline as a release of market overheating rather than a reversal.<\/p>\n For comparison, during December\u2019s correction to $85,000, sentiment fell to extreme lows of 10-15%, which Adler described as a structural breakdown rather than a temporary adjustment. He added that if market sentiment turns negative and BTC\u2019s price falls below $92,000, it would indicate that bullish momentum in the futures market is starting to fade.<\/p>\n QCP Capital also expects further upside in a continued risk-on environment. The firm cited<\/a> the current US economy, stable inflation, and strong equity and precious metal markets as supporting factors for broader risk appetite, which could extend to digital assets.<\/p>\n While geopolitical tensions in Venezuela and Iran, as well as a pending US Supreme Court decision on tariffs, remain potential risks, QCP Capital said these developments appear to be largely priced in, and any escalation could present buy-the-dip opportunities for BTC.<\/p>\n The post Bitcoin Derivatives Enter Risk-On Mode as Futures Traders Go Aggressive<\/a> appeared first on CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Bitcoin futures positioning has transitioned into a steady bullish zone for the first time in three months, according to analyst Axel Adler Jr. The Bitcoin Positioning Index rose to 3.5, which is the first breakout above the 3 level since October last year. BTC Futures Turn Bullish The index, which accounts for open interest dynamics, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":127078,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-127077","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/127077"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=127077"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/127077\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/127078"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=127077"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=127077"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=127077"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}Opportunity for Bitcoin<\/h2>\n