Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near a key long-term level as it heads into the final days of the year. The asset has shown a small recovery early in the week, but it remains close to a major technical support that has triggered large corrections in past cycles.<\/p>\n
At press time, Bitcoin is priced at around $86,700 with a 24-hour trading volume of $35 billion. The asset is down by 1% over the last day and almost 4% weekly. It reached a local low of $80,500 on November 21 and has been trading between $84,000 and $90,000 for over a month.<\/p>\n
Bitcoin is sitting on the 100-week simple moving average (SMA), a level that has marked the start of every major cycle correction over the past decade. Analyst Chain Mind noted that previous breaks below this line led to drawdowns of 35% to 55%. The most recent example was in 2022, when BTC fell more than 57% after closing below the same level.<\/p>\n
$BTC<\/a> IS SITTING RIGHT ON THE 100-WEEK MA<\/p>\n LEVEL THAT HAS TRIGGERED EVERY MAJOR CYCLE CORRECTION<\/p>\n PREVIOUS BREAKS BELOW THIS BAND LED TO SELLOFFS OF 35\u201355%<\/p>\n BITCOIN COULD RETEST MUCH LOWER LEVELS<\/p>\n WE ARE GOING LOWER pic.twitter.com\/XImkkTGmDg<\/a><\/p>\n \u2014 \ud835\uddd6\ud835\udddb\ud835\uddd4\ud835\udddc\ud835\udde1 \ud835\udde0\ud835\udddc\ud835\udde1\ud835\uddd7 (@0xChainMind) December 28, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n\n The chart shows that this moving average has acted as a floor in past bear markets. The current pullback already reflects a 31% decline from the recent peak of around $126,000. A confirmed close below the 100-week SMA would place BTC at risk of repeating earlier patterns, possibly moving toward the $35,000 to $50,000 range.<\/p>\n Meanwhile, the slope of the moving average is flattening, which suggests long-term momentum is slowing. Traders are watching the weekly close to see whether Bitcoin can stay above this area or continue lower.<\/p>\n On shorter timeframes, BTC is attempting to reclaim the 20-day moving average after 78 days of staying below it. Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe commented<\/a> that this could change the short-term pattern, but warned,<\/p>\n \u201cNothing confirmed, as it has been breaking above this 20-Day MA during the previous correction.\u201d<\/p>\n Notably, the 20-day moving average remains an important short-term indicator. The price needs to hold above this level through the next few sessions to confirm a trend reversal.<\/p>\n Analyst CW pointed<\/a> to long positions held by Bitfinex whales, suggesting the early stages of a new cycle may be underway.<\/p>\n \u201cThe start of Bitfinex whales\u2019 profiting from their $BTC long positions signals the start of a bull market,\u201d the analyst said.<\/p>\n However, others are less optimistic. Ali Martinez described<\/a> the current move as a potential dead-cat bounce, adding that BTC may \u201cmake another leg lower<\/em>\u201d before stabilizing. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still below 50, showing that momentum remains weak (per TradingView).<\/p>\n Bitcoin opened 2025 at $93,400. It is now down about 5% for the year. With three days left before the yearly candle closes, Lark Davis noted<\/a>, \u201c$BTC has never closed a post-halving year candle as red in its history.<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\n The post Bitcoin (BTC) at Risk? Break Below 100-Week MA Signals Trouble<\/a> appeared first on CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near a key long-term level as it heads into the final days of the year. The asset has shown a small recovery early in the week, but it remains close to a major technical support that has triggered large corrections in past cycles. At press time, Bitcoin is priced at around […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":123500,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-123499","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/123499"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=123499"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/123499\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/123500"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=123499"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=123499"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=123499"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}Whale Activity and Sentiment Signals Mixed<\/h2>\n