Bitcoin\u2019s price has been on an evident downfall for over two months, ever since it peaked above $126,000 in early October, losing roughly 30% of its value since then to $88,000 as of now.<\/p>\n
Analysts are now debating whether the bear market has started or if this is yet another typical correction during bull cycles. Ali Martinez believes BTC would need to reclaim one key level to reignite its bull phase.<\/p>\n
In a recent post on X, the analyst with over 160,000 followers claimed<\/a> that the primary cryptocurrency needs to surge past its short-term holder realized price to turn bullish. According to his data, that level is situated close to $102,000, which would require a 15-6% increase from the current levels.<\/p>\n Merlijn The Trader also weighed in on BTC\u2019s price performance as of late, but focused on another technical tool \u2013 the Relative Strength Index. The metric has gone deep below 30, which is widely considered an oversold territory, and has stayed there for roughly three weeks.<\/p>\n The analyst claimed that the RSI can stay oversold or overbought for a while when the market\u2019s trending, which has been the case now. He noted that in such specific scenarios, BTC trades sideways for 20-25 days, and the asset has now passed the 20-day mark. Consequently, he predicted that this lag is about to end and bitcoin\u2019s next move will be an \u201cexplosive bounce.\u201d<\/p>\n BITCOIN RSI JUST HIT THE SWEET SPOT.<\/p>\n Every time RSI dips below 30: Sideways grind into explosive bounce. We\u2019re on day 20. You\u2019re either early\u2026 \u2014 Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) December 19, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n\n It\u2019s not all rainbows and sunshine, though. Further data from Martinez shows that the 1-year change in the average BTC whale holdings is down by more than 160,000 units. He explained<\/a> that these large market participants have been net sellers for the past year, which \u201cusually shows up before or during deeper corrections, not after bottoms.\u201d<\/p>\n The spot Bitcoin ETFs have also seen a substantial investor exodus lately, with nearly $500 million leaving the funds in the past week alone. Martinez also warned<\/a> that if BTC is to lose the $83,300 support, it risks dropping all the way down to $63,000. For now, though, that line of defense has managed to hold the asset\u2019s price corrections.<\/p>\n The post \u2018Explosive Bounce\u2019 Incoming? What the RSI Signal Says About BTC\u2019s Next Move<\/a> appeared first on CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Bitcoin\u2019s price has been on an evident downfall for over two months, ever since it peaked above $126,000 in early October, losing roughly 30% of its value since then to $88,000 as of now. Analysts are now debating whether the bear market has started or if this is yet another typical correction during bull cycles. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":122059,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-122058","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/122058"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=122058"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/122058\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/122059"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=122058"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=122058"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=122058"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\nThe average lag: ~25 days.<\/p>\n
\nHistory says upside is next.<\/p>\n
\nOr you\u2019re late. pic.twitter.com\/EgZNR2QqML<\/a><\/p>\nThe Downside<\/h2>\n