
{"id":119245,"date":"2025-12-10T06:45:15","date_gmt":"2025-12-10T06:45:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=119245"},"modified":"2025-12-10T06:45:15","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T06:45:15","slug":"bitcoin-set-for-santa-rally-as-systemic-leverage-drops-coinbase","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=119245","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Set for Santa Rally as Systemic Leverage Drops: Coinbase"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cA rocky November may have set the stage for a December to remember,\u201d stated Coinbase Institutional on Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p>The firm <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CoinbaseInsto\/status\/1998464480209154377\">stated<\/a> that its \u201csystemic leverage ratio,\u201d which tracks purely speculative positioning, has stabilized at around 4% to 5% of total market capitalization, and is down from 10% this summer.<\/p>\n<p>The \u201ccautious optimism\u201d has come about because \u201cspeculative excess has been flushed out,\u201d it stated, explaining that the market structure is healthier now.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLower leverage = healthier market structure + less vulnerability to sharp drawdowns heading into year-end.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2>December Shaping Up For Santa Rally<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/coinbase-institutional-sees-december-reversal-despite-bitcoins-brutal-november\/\">experienced<\/a> its second-worst November in history, recording a 17.7% loss over the month. The worst November was in 2018 when it dumped 36.6%, according to Coinglass. On average, November is usually the best-performing month for the asset.<\/p>\n<p>December is already shaping up much better as BTC is up 2.3% so far this month. However, it has a long way to go to beat the whopping 47% it made in December 2020.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoin-price-soars-to-94k-on-escalating-odds-of-another-rate-cut\/\">powered<\/a> to a three-week high of $94,500 in late trading on Tuesday, but it couldn\u2019t hold those gains and retreated to $92,400 during the Wednesday morning Asian trading session.<\/p>\n<p>The move comes as the Federal Reserve is expected to announce a rate cut later today, but markets have already priced this in, say analysts.<\/p>\n<p>Spencer Hallarn, Global Head of OTC at crypto capital markets partner GSR, agreed with Coinbase, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/fintechfrank\/status\/1998426032957727150\">stating<\/a>, \u201cI think we\u2019ve shaken out a lot of the bulls and built a solid base of skepticism.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPerpetual funding rates are very low or negative, which suggests there isn\u2019t much leverage in the system. Taken together, that setup looks pretty bullish for a Santa rally. I think EOY is looking good.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2>Correlations With US Stock Markets<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin is currently <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoin-exchange-outflows-accelerate-despite-short-term-price-weakness\/\">mispriced<\/a> relative to the Nasdaq and high-beta tech stocks, creating a buying opportunity in the near term, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CryptoMichNL\/status\/1998482789117870101\">according<\/a> to Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe, founder of MN Fund, on Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p>While the Nasdaq has shown resilience, Bitcoin hasn\u2019t kept pace despite their historical correlation, creating a pricing gap. The recovery in high-beta stocks signals renewed risk-on appetite in markets, which historically correlates with Bitcoin rallies, he said while dismissing the four-year cycle thesis.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIn that light, in the coming few weeks, perhaps months, it\u2019s very likely to see Bitcoin grind back upward to the levels of $110K-$115K, inversing the entire loss as the entire correction was a little dubious.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoin-set-for-santa-rally-as-systemic-leverage-drops-coinbase\/\">Bitcoin Set for Santa Rally as Systemic Leverage Drops: Coinbase<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/\">CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cA rocky November may have set the stage for a December to remember,\u201d stated Coinbase Institutional on Tuesday. The firm stated that its \u201csystemic leverage ratio,\u201d which tracks purely speculative positioning, has stabilized at around 4% to 5% of total market capitalization, and is down from 10% this summer. The \u201ccautious optimism\u201d has come about [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":119246,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-119245","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119245"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=119245"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119245\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/119246"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=119245"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=119245"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=119245"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}