{"id":118800,"date":"2025-12-08T22:00:59","date_gmt":"2025-12-08T22:00:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=118800"},"modified":"2025-12-08T22:00:59","modified_gmt":"2025-12-08T22:00:59","slug":"bitcoin-rsi-shows-shocking-similarities-to-2012-2015-but-what-happened-last-time","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=118800","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin RSI Shows Shocking Similarities To 2012-2015, But What Happened Last Time?"},"content":{"rendered":"

A crypto analyst has revisited long-term charts from 2012-2015, noting that the current Bitcoin (BTC) cycle<\/a> shows striking similarities to this timeline, in terms of the Relative Strength Index (RSI)<\/a> and price action. During the 2017-2015 bull run, BTC experienced one of the strongest multi-year advances before bottoming out. The market expert claims that the same sequence of peaks and pullbacks observed in that timeline is now unfolding again in this cycle.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Bitcoin RSI Comparison Signals Bottoming Structure<\/h2>\n

Bitcoin\u2019s latest momentum study by crypto analyst Tony Severino has drawn significant attention from market watchers. In his X post on December 6, Severino highlighted<\/a> surprising similarities between the RSI trend and price movements of the 2023-2026 cycle and those observed from 2012 to 2015.\u00a0<\/p>\n

His comparison focuses on the timing of several major points that appeared in both cycles. These include the moment a price bottom began to form, the first price peak, a subsequent momentum peak, and finally a Bearish Divergence<\/a> that typically precedes deeper corrective phases.<\/p>\n

Severino shared a chart from the 2012-2015 cycle showing that Bitcoin\u2019s RSI had gradually climbed, with several short bursts of sharper upward momentum along the way. Eventually, momentum faded<\/a>, and the indicator declined for an extended period before settling in a mid-range zone at the 44 level.\u00a0<\/p>\n

In the current cycle, which began in 2023, the RSI also climbed sharply before reaching a notable peak. Since then, the indicator has been gradually declining<\/a>, currently sitting around 38. This level is similar to the mid-range RSI values observed in the former cycle before Bitcoin advanced again.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Sharing a second chart, Severino also pointed to Bitcoin\u2019s price action relative to its RSI performance across both cycles. During the earlier cycle, Bitcoin\u2019s price sat around $233.54, while in the recent cycle, it has declined to $89,352. The analyst argues that the alignment between the RSI movements and price action in both timelines strengthens his theory that Bitcoin may be approaching a meaningful bottom<\/a> soon.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Severino also suggested that if history repeats in the 2023-2026 cycle, traders could be looking at the early stages of a year-long accumulation phase<\/a>, similar to what played out a decade ago. Nevertheless, he acknowledged that there is no guarantee that the current cycle will mirror past patterns completely.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Analyst Flags New BTC Bullish Crossover<\/h2>\n

Crypto analyst AO has shared<\/a> a more optimistic outlook for Bitcoin, highlighting the formation of a Bullish Crossover<\/a>\u2014a key technical signal that has historically preceded significant price surges. According to him, each time the Stochastic RSI<\/a> on US10Y*CN10Y experiences a Bullish Crossover, Bitcoin enters a significant bull run.<\/p>\n

AO presented a chart showcasing four previous Bullish Crossovers, each followed by a massive price increase. The first crossover appeared in 2013 and coincided with an early surge. The second came in 2017, marking the start of a multi-month bull run. The third occurred in late 2020, shortly before BTC\u2019s record-breaking run in 2021<\/a>. The most recent signal has not emerged in 2025, suggesting the potential for a similar upward move.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A crypto analyst has revisited long-term charts from 2012-2015, noting that the current Bitcoin (BTC) cycle shows striking similarities to this timeline, in terms of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and price action. During the 2017-2015 bull run, BTC experienced one of the strongest multi-year advances before bottoming out. The market expert claims that the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":118801,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-118800","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/118800"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=118800"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/118800\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/118801"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=118800"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=118800"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=118800"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}