
{"id":115528,"date":"2025-11-25T11:00:12","date_gmt":"2025-11-25T11:00:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=115528"},"modified":"2025-11-25T11:00:12","modified_gmt":"2025-11-25T11:00:12","slug":"bitcoin-to-40000-signal-behind-past-60-crashes-is-back","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=115528","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin To $40,000? Signal Behind Past 60% Crashes Is Back"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how a technical analysis (TA) signal that led into major price declines in the past has returned for Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<h2>Monthly MACD Has Turned Bearish For Bitcoin<\/h2>\n<p>In a new <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ali_charts\/status\/1992802605228343767\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">post<\/a> on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about a signal that has formed in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/solana\/solana-macd-curling-up\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Moving Average Convergence\/Divergence (MACD)<\/a> for Bitcoin. MACD is a TA indicator that\u2019s generally used for timing buys and sells in an asset\u2019s price chart.<\/p>\n<p>The indicator consists of two lines: MACD line and signal line. The first of these, the MACD line, is found by subtracting the 26-period exponential moving average (EMA) of the price from its 12-period EMA. The signal line tracks the 9-period EMA of this difference.<\/p>\n<p>Crossovers between the two lines can provide buy or sell signals for the asset. The MACD line breaking above the signal line could be considered a bullish signal, while the reverse type of crossover a bearish one.<\/p>\n<p>Now, here is the chart shared by Martinez that shows how the monthly MACD has changed for Bitcoin over the last several years:<\/p>\n<p>As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin MACD has registered a crossover recently. The MACD line has plunged as the asset has witnessed its bearish momentum and it\u2019s now sitting under the signal line.<\/p>\n<p>As mentioned earlier, such a signal can be a bearish one. In the chart, the analyst has highlighted the past instances of this pattern. It would appear that the last three sell signals from the indicator all led into declines of more than 60% for the cryptocurrency.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf that repeats, the chart points to $40,000,\u201d noted Martinez. It now remains to be seen whether the MACD will hold for Bitcoin, or if a different trend from the past will follow this time around.<\/p>\n<p>The MACD line falling under its signal line isn\u2019t the only bearish crossover that BTC has faced recently. As the analyst has pointed out in another X <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ali_charts\/status\/1992875616283365432\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">post<\/a>, a classic <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/xrp-news\/xrp-mvrv-flashes-death-cross-more-decline-ahead\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">death cross<\/a> has also appeared between the asset\u2019s 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and 200-day SMA.<\/p>\n<p>From the chart, it\u2019s apparent that the 50-day SMA has declined below the 200-day SMA alongside the latest Bitcoin market downturn. During the past couple of years, each such signal has marked local bottoms for BTC, but in 2022, this crossover kicked off the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/xrp-news\/is-xrp-entering-a-bear-market-analyst\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bear market<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>So far since the death cross has appeared, the asset has continued to decline, a potential sign that this death cross may be different from the recent ones.<\/p>\n<h2>BTC Price<\/h2>\n<p>At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $88,800, down over 4% in the last seven days.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how a technical analysis (TA) signal that led into major price declines in the past has returned for Bitcoin. Monthly MACD Has Turned Bearish For Bitcoin In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about a signal that has formed in the Moving Average Convergence\/Divergence (MACD) [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":115529,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-115528","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115528"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=115528"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115528\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/115529"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=115528"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=115528"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=115528"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}