{"id":114534,"date":"2025-11-20T15:06:08","date_gmt":"2025-11-20T15:06:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=114534"},"modified":"2025-11-20T15:06:08","modified_gmt":"2025-11-20T15:06:08","slug":"xwin-research-japan-btc-may-stay-in-60k-80k-range-if-fed-holds-rates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=114534","title":{"rendered":"XWIN Research Japan: BTC May Stay In $60K\u2013$80K Range If Fed Holds Rates"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>November has been a reality check of sorts for Bitcoin\u2019s (BTC) price action. The crypto gold was riding high off its success in creating an ATH of $126,000 in October, and the broader crypto market thought that the era of massive BTC liquidations was over.<\/p>\n<p>Well, we all got rugpulled, didn\u2019t we? <\/p>\n<p>\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-widget-container\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\t\t<!-- name of the coin in the text --><br \/>\n\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-widget-wrapper\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-widget-holder \"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-name\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-icon \"><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-label \">Bitcoin<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-symbol hidden\">BTC<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-trend-holder\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-price hidden\">$91,248.25<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-trend-holder\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-trend  positive\">1.37%<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t<br \/>\n\t\t\t<br \/>\n\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t<!-- popup with basic info about the coin --><br \/>\n\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-popup-wrapper \"><br \/>\n\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-popup-holder\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-name\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-icon\"><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-popup-name\">Bitcoin<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-popup-symbol\">BTC<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-price\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-price-title\">Price<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-price-holder\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-price-value\">$91,248.25<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-trend-holder\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-trend positive\">1.37% \/24h<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-volume\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-price-holder\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-volume-title\">Volume in 24h<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-volume-value\">$72.09B<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t&lt;!&#8211; <span class=\"cwp-coin-trend-holder\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-trend\">?<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>                     &#8211;&gt;<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-chart\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-graph-title\">Price 7d<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-graph-container positive\"><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t<br \/>\n\t<\/p>\n<p>\t dropped from $126,000 and kept declining, erasing all the gains from earlier this year. In the last 24 hours, its price action briefly dipped below $90,000, touching $88,000 before bulls stepped in to control the losses.<\/p>\n<p>Since then, BTC has bounced off modestly and is trading above the $90,000 support level, with chances of declining further. <a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/691e37a36fd9c6204765e951-Bitcoin-Range-Outlook-if-the-Fed-Does-Not-Cut-Rates-in-December\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">According <\/a>to XWIN Research Japan, BTC might stay stuck between $60,000 and $80,000 until the end of the year if the US Federal Reserve (Fed) decides not to cut interest rates at its upcoming December meeting.<\/p>\n<div class=\"chart crypto-chart-instance\">\n<div class=\"chart__header\">\n<div class=\"chart__info\">\n<div class=\"chart__info-icon\">\n<div class=\"chart__info-name\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__info-symbol\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__info-current\">\n<div class=\"chart__info-price\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__info-change\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__info-extra\">\n<div class=\"chart__info-label\">Market Cap<\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__info-marketcap\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__controls\">\n<div class=\"chart__controls-group\">\n\t\t\t\t<button class=\"chart__button chart__button--24h\">24h<\/button><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<button class=\"chart__button chart__button--7d\">7d<\/button><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<button class=\"chart__button chart__button--30d\">30d<\/button><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<button class=\"chart__button chart__button--1y\">1y<\/button><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<button class=\"chart__button chart__button--all-time\">All Time<\/button>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__container\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>The upcoming Fed meeting is shaping up to be one of the most uncertain ones in years, and has the market caught up in analysis paralysis. Furthermore, the recent US government shutdown has delayed key economic reports such as job data for October and November, giving policymakers limited room to maneuver.<\/p>\n<p>Just a couple of weeks earlier, the market expected another rate cut in December. However, now, the probability of a rate cut has fallen to around 40%-50%.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin Range Outlook if the Fed Does Not Cut Rates in December<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf the Fed does not cut in December, Bitcoin likely trades between 60,000 and 80,000 dollars into year-end.\u201d \u2013 By <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/xwinfinance?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">@xwinfinance<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/u4gNtzIrhM\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pic.twitter.com\/u4gNtzIrhM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/cryptoquant_com\/status\/1991418259284091220?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">November 20, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n\n<p><strong>EXPLORE:\u00a0<a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/cryptocurrency\/best-crypto-to-buy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<h2>$72 Billion Stablecoin Reserves On The Sidelines: Will They Stabilize BTC Price Action?<\/h2>\n<p>Historically, if monetary policy remains tight, it pulls money away from riskier assets like crypto.<\/p>\n<p>When it became apparent that the Fed would not be cutting rates in December, the crypto market entered into a downturn from which it hasn\u2019t been able to properly rebound.<\/p>\n<p>Now, if the Fed decides not to cut interest rates in December, analysts believe that BTC could stay stuck in this limbo and move sideways in a narrow price range. In today\u2019s market setup, traders are using leverage, i.e., borrowed money, and are especially at risk because there\u2019s less cash flowing in the system.<\/p>\n<p>According to the <a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/691e37a36fd9c6204765e951-Bitcoin-Range-Outlook-if-the-Fed-Does-Not-Cut-Rates-in-December\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">research<\/a>, \u201cIf the Fed chooses not to cut, the logic is straightforward: inflation remains near 3%, officials worry about easing too early, and missing data make policymakers more cautious. This scenario typically keeps liquidity tight and risk appetite muted.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$BTC<\/a> is consolidating around the $92,000 level.<\/p>\n<p>US stock futures are up after strong NVIDIA earnings, while VIX is down.<\/p>\n<p>Pre-market stock trading insights:<\/p>\n<p>Nasdaq futures is up 1.7% <\/p>\n<p>S&amp;P futures is up 1.25%  <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/pwvWpUvUHC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pic.twitter.com\/pwvWpUvUHC<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Ted (@TedPillows) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TedPillows\/status\/1991492610305978609?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">November 20, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n\n<p>Still, there are chances of a rebound. Stablecoin reserves on crypto exchanges have hit a record $72.2 billion, which means a lot of money is sitting on the sidelines, waiting for the right moment to re-enter the market. In fact, every major BTC rally in 2025 started out with a similar buildup of stablecoins.<\/p>\n<p>If the Fed holds off on cutting rates, analysts expect BTC to trade between $60,000 and $80,000 through the end of the year. At the moment, its price is being held by cautious investor sentiment and likely will not break till traders feel more confident about the Fed\u2019s next move.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe liquidity is there, but macro uncertainty is preventing deployment,\u201d the <a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/691e37a36fd9c6204765e951-Bitcoin-Range-Outlook-if-the-Fed-Does-Not-Cut-Rates-in-December\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">research <\/a>indicated. The big question now is if the stablecoin stash will stay parked on the sidelines or start flowing into BTC once the policy uncertainty clears.<\/p>\n<p><strong>EXPLORE:\u00a0<a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/cryptocurrency\/next-1000x-crypto\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Next 1000X Crypto \u2013 Here\u2019s 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x This Year<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<h2>The Fundamentals Are Strong: Analysts Downplay Crypto Winter Fears<\/h2>\n<p>While the market has declined for the better part of November, <a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/exclusives\/crypto-winter-ahead-five-experts-say-no-heres-why\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">analysts <\/a>still believe that the current downturn looks more like a macro-driven correction rather than the start of a crypto winter.<\/p>\n<p>They pointed to institutional interest and adoption, regulatory progress, and sector resilience as signs of the sector\u2019s strong fundamentals and foundations.<\/p>\n<p>Bitwise\u2019s Danny Nelson and HashKey\u2019s Tim Sun both argued that the market is far from a full-blown winter.<\/p>\n<p>They noted that, unlike previous collapses, the current cycle has not seen a catastrophic event like FTX, and that infrastructure improvements, from tokenization to stablecoin expansion, continue to strengthen the ecosystem.<\/p>\n<p><strong>EXPLORE:\u00a0<a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/cryptocurrency\/new-cryptocurrency\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"nnbtc-key-takeaways\">\n<h2 class=\"nnbtc-key-takeaways__title\">Key Takeaways<\/h2>\n<p>        BTC price dropped from $126K to $88K, erasing all 2025 gains    <\/p>\n<p>        XWIN Research Japan expects BTC to trade between $60K\u2013$80K if Fed skips rate cut    <\/p>\n<p>        $72 billion in stablecoins may enable a rebound once policy uncertainty clears    <\/p><\/div>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/news\/bitcoin-btc\/xwin-research-japan-btc-may-stay-in-60k-80k-range-if-fed-holds-rates\/\">XWIN Research Japan: BTC May Stay In $60K\u2013$80K Range If Fed Holds Rates<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/\">99Bitcoins<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>November has been a reality check of sorts for Bitcoin\u2019s (BTC) price action. The crypto gold was riding high off its success in creating an ATH of $126,000 in October, and the broader crypto market thought that the era of massive BTC liquidations was over. Well, we all got rugpulled, didn\u2019t we? Bitcoin BTC $91,248.25 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-114534","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/114534"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=114534"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/114534\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=114534"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=114534"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=114534"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}