
{"id":111118,"date":"2025-11-07T01:00:30","date_gmt":"2025-11-07T01:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=111118"},"modified":"2025-11-07T01:00:30","modified_gmt":"2025-11-07T01:00:30","slug":"warning-signals-bitcoin-365-day-moving-average-at-risk-of-collapse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=111118","title":{"rendered":"Warning Signals: Bitcoin 365-Day Moving Average At Risk of Collapse"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The cryptocurrency market is currently facing significant bearish pressure, with Bitcoin (BTC) struggling to reclaim previously crucial support levels.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Recent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">data <\/a>from CoinGecko indicates that Bitcoin has retraced nearly 6% over the past week, a decline that has impacted other major cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum (ETH), XRP, Binance Coin (BNB), and Solana (SOL), all of which have experienced double-digit losses during the same period.<\/p>\n<h2>Galaxy Digital Lowers Bitcoin Price Target<\/h2>\n<p>This downturn marks a stark contrast to the bullish sentiment observed earlier in October, when Bitcoin surged to record its current record high slightly above the $126,000 mark due to a wave of margin buying.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>However, the euphoria was short-lived, as approximately $20 billion in leveraged positions across the crypto market were abruptly liquidated just days later on October 10, contributing to the ongoing lack of confidence among investors.<\/p>\n<p>Michael Novogratz\u2019s Galaxy Digital recently <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-11-06\/bitcoin-bears-see-more-peril-after-300-billion-crypto-selloff-btc?srnd=phx-markets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">revised <\/a>its year-end Bitcoin price target down to $120,000, a significant cut from the previous estimate of $185,000, attributing this adjustment to the \u201csignificant leverage wipeout.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Market analytics firm CryptoQuant has pointed out that Bitcoin\u2019s drop below its 365-day moving average near $102,000 could signal a deeper retreat. This moving average has historically acted as a critical support level during this bull cycle, and its failure to hold could lead to a more substantial correction in Bitcoin\u2019s price.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>In their analysis, CryptoQuant experts elaborated on the conditions necessary for Bitcoin to reverse its current trajectory and potentially reach new<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/breaking-news-ticker\/bitcoin-price-falls-under-100000-elliott-wave-analysis-forecasts-decline-to-70000\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> all-time highs.<\/a> They observed that Bitcoin led a global risk-off movement, testing the critical $100,000 support level.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This decline was influenced by a stronger dollar and ongoing uncertainties regarding Federal Reserve (Fed) policy, which have dampened broader risk appetites across various asset classes.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Notably, there have been four consecutive sessions of approximately $1.3 billion in net outflows from US <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/behind-the-mexc-drama-is-bankruptcy-inevitable\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">spot BTC ETFs<\/a>, reversing what had been one of the strongest tailwinds for the market in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>This diminished demand in the spot market has coincided with forced deleveraging, resulting in over $1 billion in long liquidations at recent lows, which briefly breached intraday support before dip buyers stepped in.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>Stabilization Of ETF Flows Crucial<\/h2>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/crypto\/caution-in-the-crypto-market-expert-warns-of-bearish-phase-unfolding-this-november\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">options market<\/a> has further intensified volatility, as dealers remain net short gamma around the $100,000 strike, leading to increased hedging activity near this critical level.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The $100,000 mark now stands as a psychological barrier, and any stabilization in ETF flows could shift market sentiment, provided no new macroeconomic shocks occur.<\/p>\n<p>On the macroeconomic front, the analysts <a href=\"https:\/\/www.qcpgroup.com\/insights\/asia-colour-170\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">assert <\/a>that the current environment remains supportive, albeit clouded by the ongoing government shutdown in Washington. However, policy clarity remains elusive.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve\u2019s recent 25 basis point cut in October, which included some dissenting opinions, was accompanied by a cautious tone that pushed back against expectations for another cut in December.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Markets are currently pricing in a 60-65% chance of a follow-up move, but as the Fed\u2019s blackout period continues, policymakers may become more comfortable with the idea of pausing, which would help maintain a firm dollar and tight<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-price-poised-for-a-bullish-november-key-catalysts-that-cant-be-ignored\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> credit conditions<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>For Bitcoin to break higher sustainably, CryptoQuant\u2019s analysis suggests that a reversal in exchange-traded fund outflows and renewed confidence in risk assets will likely be necessary.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com\u00a0<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The cryptocurrency market is currently facing significant bearish pressure, with Bitcoin (BTC) struggling to reclaim previously crucial support levels.\u00a0 Recent data from CoinGecko indicates that Bitcoin has retraced nearly 6% over the past week, a decline that has impacted other major cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum (ETH), XRP, Binance Coin (BNB), and Solana (SOL), all of which [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":111119,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-111118","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111118"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=111118"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111118\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/111119"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=111118"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=111118"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=111118"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}