Bitcoin heads into the new week with a clean catalyst: the White House\u2019s tariff brinkmanship with China and a market structure that just absorbed the largest crypto liquidation on record.<\/p>\n
Markets have marched through the tariff cycle almost beat-for-beat, and as of Monday we are squarely at Step 8 of The Kobeissi Letter\u2019s template: the post-open reassurance from Treasury. The sequence since late week ties cleanly to the blueprint Kobeissi published after \u201c10 months analyzing EVERY single tariff development,\u201d which it summarized as an \u201cEXACT playbook for investors.\u201d<\/p>\n
In their words<\/a>: \u201c1) Trump puts out cryptic post\u2026 2) Trump announces large tariff rate (50%+) and markets crash\u2026 4) After the market closes on Friday, President Trump doubles down\u2026 5) On Saturday, the target\u2026 responds\u2026 6) On Sunday\u2026 Trump posts an announcement saying he is working on a solution\u2026 7) Futures open\u2026 higher Sunday\u2026 8) After the Monday open, Treasury Secretary Bessent appears on live TV and reassures investors\u2026 9\u201310) over the next 2\u20134 weeks, officials tease a deal, then announce one, and stocks hit a record high. 11) Repeat.\u201d<\/p>\n The Friday crash<\/a> is the fulcrum. After President Donald Trump threatened to impose a 100% tariff on Chinese imports by November 1, risk assets lurched lower into the US close, with the S&P 500 off 2.7% and the Nasdaq down 3.6% on the day; Bitcoin and the entire crypto suffered the largest single-day liquidation in its history, with roughly $19 billion in positions wiped out across venues.<\/p>\n The trigger, size, and timing map precisely to Step 2\u2019s \u201cannounce large tariff rate\u2026 and markets crash to shake out weak positions,\u201d followed by Step 3\u2019s failed bounce and fresh lows as forced selling cascaded through perps and basis.<\/p>\n The weekend then advanced the script. Between late Friday and Saturday, the White House and Beijing traded barbs \u2014 the \u201cdouble down\u201d and counter-response embedded in Steps 4 and 5. Coverage detailed the 100%-tariff threat and China\u2019s vow of \u201ccorresponding measures,\u201d underscoring that the policy shock was real rather than rhetorical.<\/p>\n On Sunday, Trump abruptly eased his tone, writing on Truth Social: \u201cDon\u2019t worry about China, it will all be fine! Highly respected President Xi just had a bad moment. He doesn\u2019t want Depression for his country, and neither do I. The U.S.A. wants to help China, not hurt it!!!<\/p>\n Related Reading: Bitcoin\u2019s Rally Still Looks Intact, CryptoQuant Says: Here\u2019s Why<\/a><\/p>\n Futures duly bounced Sunday evening, consistent with Step 6\u2019s \u201cworking on a solution\u201d message and Step 7\u2019s gap-higher open. \u201cBitcoin extends gains to +5% on the day and reclaims $115,000. Ethereum is now up +11% on the day and is 4% away from pre-liquidation levels seen on October 10th,\u201d the analyst added via X on late Sunday.<\/p>\n Today, the Bitcoin and financial markets will be watching the administration\u2019s communications cadence shifting from escalation to stabilization, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent<\/a> doing the media rounds to frame risks, policy intent, and the negotiation path.<\/p>\n Notably, this is not unprecedented: Bessent has repeatedly used live TV to pour oil on troubled waters during tariff flare-ups, a pattern documented across months of interviews and official transcripts, and consistent with Kobeissi\u2019s \u201cafter the Monday open\u2026 [Bessent] appears on live TV and reassures investors.\u201d The point for traders is not the theatrics; it is the systematic sequence of message-induced flows that tends to follow.<\/p>\n The bottom line for this week is to let the tariff playbook dictate the rhythm. As The Kobeissi Letter put it, 2025 is a market where \u201cHeadlines and posts are now able to move trillions of dollars of market cap in a matter of minutes,\u201d and where \u201cthe ability to remain objective and capitalize on emotional swings in the market is alpha in 2025.\u201d Bitcoin\u2019s structural bull drivers<\/a> didn\u2019t vanish in Friday\u2019s flush, but the path from here will be written by policy posts.<\/p>\n At press time, Bitcoin traded at $113,9979<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Bitcoin heads into the new week with a clean catalyst: the White House\u2019s tariff brinkmanship with China and a market structure that just absorbed the largest crypto liquidation on record. Markets have marched through the tariff cycle almost beat-for-beat, and as of Monday we are squarely at Step 8 of The Kobeissi Letter\u2019s template: the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":104436,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-104435","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104435"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=104435"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104435\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/104436"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=104435"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=104435"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=104435"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}