
{"id":102388,"date":"2025-10-06T10:15:32","date_gmt":"2025-10-06T10:15:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=102388"},"modified":"2025-10-06T10:15:32","modified_gmt":"2025-10-06T10:15:32","slug":"will-powell-cut-rates-this-week-macro-analysts-top-3-fomc-crypto-predictions-us-shutdown-warning","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=102388","title":{"rendered":"Will Powell Cut Rates This Week? Macro Analyst\u2019s Top 3 FOMC Crypto Predictions \u2013 US Shutdown Warning?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Wall Street and the cryptocurrency market are convinced that Fed Chair Jerome Powell will keep his promise and continue cutting rates. It\u2019s the top story fueling FOMC crypto predictions. Futures markets now give a 95% chance of a quarter-point rate cut at month\u2019s end, up from barely half that a few weeks ago.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, the <a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/cryptocurrency\/next-1000x-crypto\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">US government shutdown<\/a> has locked the doors at the Bureau of Labor Statistics, killing the September jobs report and key spending data. With no numbers and no clarity, Powell\u2019s team is running policy on instinct.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cA lack of fresh data means the Fed can\u2019t confirm that the labor market remains on solid ground,\u201d said Krishna Guha, head of global policy at Evercore ISI.<\/p>\n<p>There\u2019s a running theory that Powell won\u2019t giv<a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/cryptocurrency\/high-risk-high-reward-crypto\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">e deeper rate cuts<\/a> until people get laid off and then they default on their burrito and pizza credit card debt. Let\u2019s talk about that and 3 predictions for the upcoming FOMC:<\/p>\n<p><strong>DISCOVER: <a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/cryptocurrency\/best-crypto-to-buy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<h2>1. FOMC Crypto Predictions: Can The US Shutdown Move Markets?<\/h2>\n<p>(Source: <a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/fed-decision-in-october?tid=1759737497182\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Polymarket<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p>Shutdowns are routine in Washington DC these days, but the timing couldn\u2019t be worse. Tens of thousands of federal workers are furloughed while the Fed faces one of its most delicate balancing acts in years.<\/p>\n<p>The last time markets faced this mix of data drought and political paralysis, volatility surged across asset classes and <\/p>\n<p>\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-widget-container\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\t\t<!-- name of the coin in the text --><br \/>\n\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-widget-wrapper\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-widget-holder \"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-name\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-icon \"><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-label \">Bitcoin<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-symbol hidden\">BTC<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-trend-holder\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-price hidden\">$124,046.11<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-trend-holder\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-trend  positive\">0.70%<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t<br \/>\n\t\t\t<br \/>\n\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t<!-- popup with basic info about the coin --><br \/>\n\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-popup-wrapper \"><br \/>\n\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-popup-holder\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-name\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-icon\"><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-popup-name\">Bitcoin<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-popup-symbol\">BTC<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-price\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-price-title\">Price<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-price-holder\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-price-value\">$124,046.11<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-trend-holder\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-trend positive\">0.70% \/24h<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-volume\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-price-holder\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-volume-title\">Volume in 24h<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-volume-value\">$49.07B<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t&lt;!&#8211; <span class=\"cwp-coin-trend-holder\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-trend\">?<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>                     &#8211;&gt;<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-chart\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-graph-title\">Price 7d<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-graph-container positive\"><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"cwp-coin-link\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/goto\/bestwallet\" target=\"_self\" class=\"cwp-coin-custom-link\" rel=\"noopener\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tLearn more\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t<br \/>\n\t<\/p>\n<p>\t alike.<\/p>\n<p>(Source: <a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/MorningBrew\/status\/1974485579191787924\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">X<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the economic sentiment of US adults is deeply negative, with 74% describing conditions as \u201cfair or poor,\u201d according to <a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/short-reads\/2025\/10\/03\/most-americans-continue-to-rate-the-us-economy-negatively-as-partisan-gap-widens\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Pew Research<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The unemployment rate has crept to 4.3%, the highest since 2021, and private payroll data from ADP shows 32,000 job losses in September.\u00a0 We\u2019re in stagflation and Donald Trump wants interest rates near 0% and Powell\u2019s term ends in May 2026. Rates will fall and continue to fall, and by 2026\u00a0 money might be printed at unprecedented rates again.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPersistent inflation, resilient demand, and only modest labor market slack suggest policy is barely restrictive,\u201d said Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan.<\/p>\n<p><strong><span>DISCOVER:\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/cryptocurrency\/next-1000x-crypto\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<h2>2. Bitcoin\u2019s New Dance with the Fed<\/h2>\n<p><a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/studio.glassnode.com\/dashboards\/btc-core-on-chain\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Glassnode data<\/a> shows a surge in long-term holder accumulation for Bitcoin, while exchange outflows have increased 9% week-over-week, a sign of growing conviction. DeFi Llama reports $82.5 Bn in total value locked (TVL) across decentralized finance, up 11% from last month, with Ethereum and Solana leading inflows.<\/p>\n<div class=\"chart crypto-chart-instance\">\n<div class=\"chart__header\">\n<div class=\"chart__info\">\n<div class=\"chart__info-icon\">\n<div class=\"chart__info-name\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__info-symbol\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__info-current\">\n<div class=\"chart__info-price\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__info-change\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__info-extra\">\n<div class=\"chart__info-label\">Market Cap<\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__info-marketcap\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__controls\">\n<div class=\"chart__controls-group\">\n\t\t\t\t<button class=\"chart__button chart__button--24h\">24h<\/button><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<button class=\"chart__button chart__button--7d\">7d<\/button><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<button class=\"chart__button chart__button--30d\">30d<\/button><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<button class=\"chart__button chart__button--1y\">1y<\/button><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<button class=\"chart__button chart__button--all-time\">All Time<\/button>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"chart__container\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>With gold hitting $3,900 and the Nikkei climbing 4.3% on Japan\u2019s fiscal stimulus expectations, traders are treating BTC as the<a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/cryptocurrency\/crypto-presales\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> third safe haven <\/a>in the new global triad: gold, stocks, and code.<\/p>\n<p><strong>DISCOVER: <a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/cryptocurrency\/next-crypto-to-explode\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<h2>3. FOMC Crypto: The Fed Still Holds Crypto\u2019s Fate, What\u2019s Next?<\/h2>\n<p>Each rate cut solves one problem and creates another. Two more cuts before year\u2019s end would almost guarantee another liquidity rush by early 2026.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEvery cut weakens the dollar\u2019s moral authority,\u201d said one macro trader in Singapore. \u201cThat\u2019s bullish for Bitcoin \u2013 and terrifying for policymakers.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The Fed\u2019s decision this month won\u2019t just steer stocks or bonds, but will set the tone for crypto\u2019s next leg. If Powell cuts without fresh data, it confirms what markets already suspect: central banks are ready to print and give Trump what he wants.<\/p>\n<p><strong>EXPLORE: <a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/news\/tether-ceo-paolo-ardoino-hopes-for-net-positive-from-us-elections-says-bitcoin-strategic-reserve-is-a-great-idea-99bitcoins-exclusive\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino Hopes For Net Positive From US Elections, Says Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Is A Great Idea: 99Bitcoins Exclusive<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/discord.gg\/B7Uk6agkqj\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"nnbtc-key-takeaways\">\n<h2 class=\"nnbtc-key-takeaways__title\">Key Takeaways<\/h2>\n<p>        Wall St.\u2019s convinced Fed Chair Jerome Powell will keep his promise and keep cutting rates. It\u2019s the top story fueling FOMC crypto predictions.    <\/p>\n<p>        Two more cuts before year\u2019s end would almost guarantee another liquidity rush by early 2026.    <\/p><\/div>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/news\/altcoins\/will-powell-cut-rates-this-week-macro-analysts-top-3-fomc-crypto-predictions-us-shutdown-warning\/\">Will Powell Cut Rates This Week? Macro Analyst\u2019s Top 3 FOMC Crypto Predictions \u2013 US Shutdown Warning?<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/\">99Bitcoins<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wall Street and the cryptocurrency market are convinced that Fed Chair Jerome Powell will keep his promise and continue cutting rates. It\u2019s the top story fueling FOMC crypto predictions. Futures markets now give a 95% chance of a quarter-point rate cut at month\u2019s end, up from barely half that a few weeks ago. Moreover, the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":102389,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-102388","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102388"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=102388"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102388\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/102389"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=102388"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=102388"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=102388"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}