{"id":100083,"date":"2025-09-26T18:00:58","date_gmt":"2025-09-26T18:00:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=100083"},"modified":"2025-09-26T18:00:58","modified_gmt":"2025-09-26T18:00:58","slug":"bitcoin-bull-run-is-over-these-signals-show-where-the-market-is-at","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/?p=100083","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Bull Run Is Over? These Signals Show Where The Market Is At"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin (BTC) has entered a critical phase in its cycle, prompting analysts to debate whether the long-standing bull run is finally nearing its peak<\/a>. With volatility tightening and historical cycle data indicating a potentially explosive breakout, market experts are closely watching the next few weeks for signals that reveal the market\u2019s current position<\/a> and future direction.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin Bull Run Cycle Nears Endgame\u00a0<\/h2>\n

Market analyst, \u2018CRYPTOBIRD\u2019 has warned that the Bitcoin bull run could end<\/a> within 30 days. In a thread on X social media, he noted<\/a> that this current cycle has now reached 1,038 days since the November 2022 bottom, which is equivalent to 97.5% of a standard cycle. Historically, the final 2.5% of Bitcoin\u2019s bull runs have delivered the most dramatic price surges<\/a>, often catching both retail and institutional investors off guard.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Examining the cycle bottom<\/a>-to-top chart, BTC\u2019s current market structure aligns closely with that of past cycles, where it experienced its largest accelerations just before cycle completion. The black line representing the current 2022-2025 trajectory shows Bitcoin consolidating<\/a> after strong gains, much like the 2016 and 2020 cycles before their peaks.\u00a0<\/p>\n

From a technical standpoint, the expert notes that BTC is trading in an unusually tight 5% range between $110,500 and $116,000, signaling heavy compression<\/a>. However, the cryptocurrency recently broke down again and is now sitting slightly above $109,600.\u00a0<\/p>\n

CRYPTOBIRD highlights key levels: 200-week SMA at $53,111 acting as long-term macro support, the 50-week SMA near $99,000 as the bull market floor and the SPX correlation (-0.19). The analyst explained that short-term structures remain mixed, with High Time Frame (HTF) support<\/a> at $111,296 still intact. However, compression has created conditions where any breakout could set the tone for the remainder of the year.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Furthermore, the Current Trend Framework (CTF) is at $114,916, signaling bearish periods<\/a>. Presently, price is gravitating toward the 200-day BPRO at $112,250, and if Bitcoin can hold above it, bulls could remain in control.<\/p>\n

Halving Math Signals Final BTC Breakdown<\/h2>\n

Continuing his analysis, CRYPTOBIRD emphasized<\/a> that Bitcoin is now 523 days post-halving<\/a>, placing it firmly within the historical \u201cpeak window\u201d of 518-580 days after each halving event. Every previous major cycle top<\/a> has occurred in this exact range, suggesting Bitcoin is entering the statistical sweet spot for its final move.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Adding to the setup is the market\u2019s present volatility squeeze<\/a>. Average True Range (ATR) has dropped to 2,250, its lowest reading of 2025, while 50-day volatility sits at 2,800. The analyst notes that such compressed volatility rarely lasts and typically precedes a violent breakout within two to four weeks.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Institutions also appear to be positioning accordingly, with Bitcoin ETF flows showing distribution<\/a>. Sentiment indicators add another layer, as the Fear and Greed index stands at 44, indicating rising fear<\/a> rather than euphoria. Meanwhile, RSI is neutral at 46, suggesting that momentum has cooled but not collapsed.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Despite September\u2019s reputation as Bitcoin\u2019s weakest month<\/a>, CRYPTOBIRD notes that it gained 4.4% month-to-date, defying its historical 6.2% decline. This anomaly, combined with October, which is typically seen as a green month, could set the stage for a bullish Q4.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin (BTC) has entered a critical phase in its cycle, prompting analysts to debate whether the long-standing bull run is finally nearing its peak. With volatility tightening and historical cycle data indicating a potentially explosive breakout, market experts are closely watching the next few weeks for signals that reveal the market\u2019s current position and future […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":100084,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-100083","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-discovery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100083"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=100083"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100083\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/100084"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=100083"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=100083"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mycryptomania.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=100083"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}